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March 17, 2008
Coal Supply and Demand Affect on Prices and Volumes
Analysis of: Citigroup: Perfect Storm or Perfect Swoon for Coal? | www.mineweb.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    The Citigroup reports states U.S. coal supply is ample and coal plant inventory levels are adequate such that the higher coal prices of the last several weeks will not hold.  The discussion in the commentary section addresses U.S. coal supply and coal plant inventory and...
Ron MusolinoFebruary 27, 2008
Norbord's OSB Survival Strategy in North America
Analysis of: Norbord To Review Operating Alternatives At Genk, Belgium | www.newswire.ca
Author: Ron Musolino, President, RM Consulting
Norbord's European and UK operations comprise a relatively small part of their revenues.  OSB and wood plant operations in North America provide the majority.  It will be their ability to survive the depressed North American housing market in 2008 that will determine their success and continued...
February 19, 2008
Number of PRB Tons in 2008 in 2009 to Backfill Eastern Coal Exports and for New Coal Plants
Analysis of: Sector Snap: Coal Falls After Downgrades | www.chron.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    The anticipated export of Eastern U.S. coal in 2008 and 2009 will need to be sourced in great extent from the Powder River Basin (PRB).  This is in addition to the new coal plants coming on in 2008 and 2009 using PRB coal. The discussion below provides a forecast on...
February 19, 2008
Not All Powder River Basin Coals Have Participated in Run-Up in Coal Prices
Analysis of: Foundation Coal Swings to 4Q Profit | money.cnn.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    The global coal availability and price has provided the opportunity for U.S. Eastern coals to be placed in export to Europe.  This has dramatically increased Eastern coal prices.  This provides an opportunity for Western Powder River Basin (PRB) coals.
February 19, 2008
Regulated Utilities May Not Necessarily Receive Cost Recovery for Increased Coal Prices
Analysis of: Coal, Once Stable, Zooms in Price | www.news.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    The increase in coal prices will obviously increase the electricity generating costs at a coal plant exposed to these price increases.  The impact to Independent Power Producers (IPPs) and their potential margins is understood.  Regulated utilities, on the other hand,...
February 19, 2008
Western U.S. Coal Potential Export
Analysis of: Talk of Exporting U.S. Coal to Pacific on the Rise | uk.reuters.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    The global coal availability and subsequent coal price explosion has provided a great benefit to Eastern U.S. coal producers.  The Western U.S. coals may not be able to appreciably directly-participate in the export surge.
Ron MusolinoFebruary 11, 2008
Homebuilding Decline Affects More Than Home Builder
Analysis of: Toll Brothers' First Quarter Revenues Off 22% | www.builderonline.com
Author: Ron Musolino, President, RM Consulting
The home building industry remains depressed and builders are reporting falling revenues and big losses.  For those who survive, will the infrastructure of suppliers, distributors and tradesmen be there to support them for the next "up" building cycle?
February 5, 2008
FutureGen Restructuring Can Help site future goal plants
Analysis of: After Washington Pulls Plug on FutureGen, Clean Coal Hopes Flicker | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The US Department of Energy’s [USDOE] decision, to restructure FutureGen from a $1.8 billion 275MW prototype – demonstrating Carbon [CO2] Capture and Sequestration (CCS) – to a series of CCS demonstrations on operating facilities, should facilitate siting of tens of thousands of MWs of proposed coal-fired...
January 25, 2008
Coal Consumption in Southeast Could Gain if Drought Causes Reduction in Nuclear Electricity Generation
Analysis of: South’s Drought a Threat to Nuclear Power Plants | www.freep.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    If low water levels used for cooling caused nuclear plants to operate less or back-off entirely at certain locations, this would be bullish for coal-fired (and natural gas-fired generation) and mitigate or cancel the concerns of an economic slowdown on coal-fired electricity...
January 21, 2008
Coal Consumption at Electric Power Sector Unlikely to Decline if U.S. Enters Recession
Analysis of: Citigroup forecasts 'dim' 4Q mining/metals earnings outlook | www.stockhouse.ca
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    Discussion has been made that a U.S. recession will cause a decline in coal consumption by the electric power sector.  This is unlikely based on coal’s relative cost to generate electricity and the historical coal consumption by the electric power sector in previous economic...

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