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GLG News by Financial Guaranty Experts

Analysis of: Big Banks Scale Back Plan to Aid in Debt Crisis (www.nytimes.com)
The logic behind the super-SIV has been fatally flawed from the start because a cornerstone of the proposed solution relies on the original cause of the problem, the lack of transparency, and therefore could be more harmful than helpful.
James Butler, C.F.A, Ph.D., President
Rigley Financial Corporation
Analysis of: Llenders Agree to Freeze Rates on Some Loans (www.nytimes.com)
The rate-freeze approved and being implemented by the government is not nearly the answer to the problems facing the Mortgage Industry, or the Financial District as a whole. The problem is systemic, and the solution is only one of a bitter pill to swallow.
Analysis of: MBIA, Ambac Downgrades May Cost Market $200 Billion (www.bloomberg.com)
Much has been made of the recent credit crisis and rightly so. Huge losses at some of the most prestigious financial firms is an almost daily event. MBIA and Ambac will have losses but will not be downgraded. Risk management at these two firms has the upper hand.
Amanda Atkins, Chief Executive Officer
Amanda Atkins, Chief Executive Officer
Afinia Capital Group
Analysis of: AAA Sub-Prime Valuation Issues (ftalphaville.ft.com)
Recent suggestions that the ABX index is a poor proxy for AAA subprime RMBS fail to recognise its value.
Analysis of: Citigroup slides amid credit squeeze (us.ft.com)
It's time for Citigroup to stop obfuscating on the quality of the assets in its unaffiliated SIVs and sponsored multi seller conduits, all to the detriment of its market cap.
James Butler, C.F.A, Ph.D., President
Rigley Financial Corporation
October 16, 2007
The Greater Fool Theory?
Analysis of: Wilbur Ross Sees Mortgage Market Rising in Subprime Debt's Wake (www.bloomberg.com)
Mr. Ross' acquisition of American Home Mortgage's servicing unit is a bold attempt to continue his legacy of "turnarounds" in the business arena. Like Merrill Lynch's purchase of First Franklin, Ross' move may disprove the adage "when there's blood in the streets, buy real estate", and prove the "Greater...
Maureen Bolton, Principal
Global Capital Access
Analysis of: Debt on Sale: Banks Grease (online.wsj.com)
This article is important because it reveals the current efforts of banks to sell off leveraged loans and contrasts such efforts with past sales.  The fact that banks are offering price guarantees and discounts to buyers of loans related to buyouts of recession-proof companies is an indication...
Maureen Bolton, Principal
Global Capital Access
Analysis of: UBS falls victim to credit squeeze (www.ft.com)
This article is important not only because it announces a US$1.3 billion write-down of UBS' fixed income portfolio, but because it parallels the situation with that of Bear Stearns' (huge write-downs followed by the "departure" of a key executive) and questions whether there are more of such "disclosures"...
Maureen Bolton, Principal
Global Capital Access
Analysis of: Morgan Stanley to buy stake in China's Jutian Fund (www.reuters.com)
This article announcing Morgan Stanley's plans to invest in Jutian Fund Management is important because it reveals another component of Morgan Stanley's investment strategy.   It also indicates that wealthy Chinese may be a more lucrative target for foreign investors, as opposed to the potential...
Maureen Bolton, Principal
Global Capital Access
Analysis of: Forget India; Call Centers Boom in Caribbean (abcnews.go.com)
This article is important because it describes the nearly five-fold rise in call center businesses in Carribean countries such as Jamaica and the Dominican Republic.  The article also details the positive economic impact that opening one call center can have on such small countries. ...

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