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GLG News by Financial Guaranty Experts

Analysis of: Double Take: JPMorgan Quietly Raising $6 Billion (www.housingwire.com)
JP Morgan's capital raising is prudent because (1) the Bear Stearns acquisition will be dilutive to JP Morgan's capital position, and (2) the current turmoil in the credit markets is far from over.
Joseph Delaney, CPCU, Managing Partner
Hilb Rogal and Hobbs of Metropolitan Washington, Inc.
Analysis of: Insurers Overly Focused On Cat Models, Says Expert (www.propertyandcasualtyinsurancenews.com)
Primary insurers and reinsurers will demand that catastrophic modeling be used in order to justify their underwriting decisions of this type of insurance.  These newer models in conjunction with in-house capacity aggregation tools (Insurers now know where and how much of their capacity...
Analysis of: Freddie to Finance Jumbo Loans (online.wsj.com)
What Freddie Mac is doing now is supposed to do 3 years ago (a call from Allen Greenspan in May 2005), specifically to liquidate substantially with little disruption to the housing market in 2005.  The call from Allen Greenspan came at the time when the combined holdings (of mortgages and mortgage...
Analysis of: Moody's, Fitch Affirm Wachovia Rating (biz.yahoo.com)
Wachovia follows what it takes to do right things to correct the pitfalls.
Jerome Fons, Principal
Jerome Fons, Principal
Fons Risk Solutions
Analysis of: Study: subprime crisis spurs lawsuits (money.cnn.com)
Continued from part 1.
Jerome Fons, Principal
Jerome Fons, Principal
Fons Risk Solutions
Analysis of: Study: subprime crisis spurs lawsuits (money.cnn.com)
As subprime mortgage losses cascade throughout the global financial system, attention has turned to the structure and performance of the bond rating industry. Faulty ratings on securities backed by subprime mortgages are believed responsible for billions of dollars in losses. This White Paper argues...
Analysis of: U.S. to Revamp Credit Rules, Drawing From Crisis Lessons (online.wsj.com)
There is always much to be learnt from a crisis, and even when the right lessons are learnt, there is real danger that the actions taken will be misguided. This appears to be the case with the recommendations of the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets. By being prescriptive and detailed...
Analysis of: Ambac Drops Breakup, Plans To Raise $1.5B (www.propertyandcasualtyinsurancenews.com)
If a major bond insurer was to lose its triple-A rating the likely outcome is a redistribution of losses rather than incremental losses. In the longer run the impact could even be positive.
James Butler, C.F.A, Ph.D., President
Rigley Financial Corporation
Analysis of: Why Credit Unions Just Don't Get It. (credituniontimes.com)
Considering the current fall-out in Commercial Lending with the big banks (most of which were deservingly so), such as Wachovia, Chase, and Bank of America, the Credit Union field has such great opportunities to grow their market-share if they just decided to move into the 19th Century, instead of living...
James Butler, C.F.A, Ph.D., President
Rigley Financial Corporation
Analysis of: Analysts give CIOs advice on weathering recession (www.infoworldmagazine.com)
The Economist recently described specific events that would lead one to believe that the U.S. Economy is already in the throws of a recession, yet the nay-sayers (including our illustrious President) state that there is still some signs of life negating this apparent event. I feel that like the 90's,...

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