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November 18, 2008
Should the Government Help Homeowners?
Analysis of: U.S. Steps Up Help for Homeowners | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Government  help for homeowners is proposed to try and alleviate the public resentment that has arisen because of the $700 billion bailout of the financial system. Such help is not required and indeed risks setting  dangerous precedents.
David KoegelNovember 10, 2008
Probability Through Rose-Colored Glasses
Analysis of: Why Risk Models Failed to Spot the Credit Crisis by Adam Davidson | www.npr.org
Author: David Koegel, Vice President, Imagine Advisors, Inc.
This article should bring to light a common misconception in attempting to evaluate risk of financial loss which is that probability estimation techniques are often falsely relied upon as precise measures. One must remind oneself that in most cases probability of future financial loss cannot be...
John JukoskiOctober 23, 2008
Res Capped Out
Analysis of: GMAC Struggles With Financing | www.nytimes.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
This is not surprising.  GM/GMAC has been dealing with diminishing liquidity going back to the creation of Residential Capital Corporation in 2006.
October 23, 2008
Indian Economy strengthening: Mobile users in India - an indicative of Economy
Analysis of: Slowdown? India adds 10 mn mobile users in Sept | www.business-standard.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Indian economy is not slowing down even if global finacial market is in crises.  The indian population has been denied the access of the convenient and comfort of the land-line telephone facilities due to unaffordable high price to use them.  Now the introduction of mobile phone gives them...
September 22, 2008
How to fix the Economy (without it costing too much)
Analysis of: Will the Levee Break? An Ocean of Bad Debt Rises despite Fed Rescues | knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu
Author: James Butler, President, Rigley Financial Corporation
The recently proposed bailout was an inevitable solution to a ever-growing problem. The $800B will be the most costly endevour by the U.S. government since The New Deal proposal from the Great Depression. The key to the issue at-hand is two fold: first, the stabilization of the real estate prices....
John JukoskiSeptember 18, 2008
Be wary of synthetic markets
Analysis of: Leveraged Loan Risk Rises on Lehman Auction, LevX Index Shows | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
The analysis in this article is generally on point, but keep in mind this is a synthetic market.
September 15, 2008
With the GSEs "Nationalized," Will There Still be a Market for Mortgage Insurance?
Analysis of: U.S. bails out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, ousts CEOs | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Martin Kamarck, Principal, MAKO Consulting LLC
The GSEs succeeded in supporting the creation of a broad, deep, liquid national market for mortgages.  They used their market power to impose standardization on mortgage terms and underwriting.  Thus was born the "conforming mortgage." Mortgage insurance is an artifact of this history. ...
September 12, 2008
With the GSEs "Nationalized," Will There Still be a Market for Mortgage Insurance?
Analysis of: U.S. bails out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, ousts CEOs | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Martin Kamarck, Principal, MAKO Consulting LLC
The GSEs succeeded in supporting the creation of a broad, deep, liquid national market for mortgages.  They used their market power to impose standardization on mortgage terms and underwriting.  Thus was born the "conforming mortgage." Mortgage insurance is an artifact of this history. ...
September 12, 2008
With the GSEs "Nationalized," Will There Still be a Market for Mortgage Insurance?
Analysis of: U.S. bails out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, ousts CEOs | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Martin Kamarck, Principal, MAKO Consulting LLC
The GSEs succeeded in supporting the creation of a broad, deep, liquid national market for mortgages.  They used their market power to impose standardization on mortgage terms and underwriting.  Thus was born the "conforming mortgage." Mortgage insurance is an artifact of this history. ...
John JukoskiSeptember 11, 2008
Good Idea, Wrong Justification
Analysis of: Lehman Brothers faces Korean takeover bid | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
KDB in this case is playing the role of the blind squirrel who finds a nut.  It is wise to invest opportunistically, in ventures that are cheap, WHEN YOU UNDERSTAND THAT YOU ARE NOT KNOWLEDGEBLE IN HOW TO RUN THESE BUSINESSES. 

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