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Art GillisJune 6, 2008
HP and EDS - Is it a Win-Win? I Predict a Lose-Lose
Analysis of: HP to Acquire EDS for $13.9 Billion | www.hp.com
Author: Art Gillis, President, Computer Based Solutions, Inc.
My experience with EDS goes back to 1962, not because it was day one for EDS, but instead, to tell you how bad I am at predicting success stories.  What I’m good at is predicting failures. 
June 2, 2008
Completing the Payment Transaction Circle
Analysis of: JP Morgan Chase to bring payment systems back in house | www.cio.co.uk
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The announcement that JPMorganChase is bringing their merchant network in-house underlines the increased value of owning both the issuer and merchant side of a payment transaction.  As the spread between issuer income and merchant expense becomes narrower, strategies like those announced by Chase...
June 2, 2008
Selander bullish on MasterCard earnings growth, but regulatory threat looms large
Analysis of: MasterCard "buy," target price raised | www.newratings.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
There’s little not to like in MasterCard’s evolving top and bottom line growth story, a story they could well – indeed should, beat, if! they can contain regulatory threats
June 2, 2008
MasterCard’s earnings growth acceleration credible if it can curb regulation
Analysis of: MasterCard on fire, again | dailybriefing.blogs.fortune.cnn.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
MasterCard’s  revamped top and bottom line growth forecasts are eminently achievable, assuming it can contain or better yet roll back regulatory restrictions.
June 2, 2008
Senators Durbin, Kohl, Specter and Snowe fish for basis to regulate interchange
Analysis of: A Senate Letter Ratchets up the Heat on Networks over Interchange | www.digitaltransactions.net
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The card payment networks have been gradually stepping up their game as commercial enterprises and the markets have come to recognize the global payment networks’ immense intrinsic operating leverage, pricing power, growth prospects, and defensibility, and therefore value.  However neither MasterCard...
May 28, 2008
UBS Pain far from Over
Analysis of: UBS Falls After Saying More Mortgage Losses Possible | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
The news is not good for UBS. The amount of mortgage holdings in US and Non-US declining markets will lead to further losses. 1. $45 B of additional US Mortgage Holdings. 2. An undisclosed amount of non-US mortgage holdings. 3. A UK and Eurpoean mortgage market that is going down as well. 4. The slump...
Mark MariottiMay 27, 2008
CHANGE for the better
Analysis of: MGAs Need To Prepare For Hard Market Now | www.propertyandcasualtyinsurancenews.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
MGA's can seek out better lines and Company deals. MGA's can seek out training to meet the changing demands. One very specific area an MGA can capitalize on is TECHNOLOGY.
May 27, 2008
The Real Write Downs - Whats in a number
Analysis of: Banks Keep $35 Billion Markdown Off Income Statements | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
The article is right on target in pointing out the various issues around bank reporting their losses todate. 1. Allowable accounting standards. 2. Permanent versus Temporary Losses 3. Capital Requirments The article goes on to highlight the various issues around soveriegn wealth funds, capital levels...
May 27, 2008
Eufiserv stake reinforces First Data’s position as Europe’s leading payment processor
Analysis of: First Data in Europe Processing Alliance | www.americanbanker.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The acquisition of 50% of Eufiserv’s processor reminds that notwithstanding LBO distractions, First Data remains the most consequential payment processor and leading consolidator in Europe, and a potential threat to MasterCard’s and Visa EU’s processing businesses. First Data’s challenge is to simultaneously...
May 27, 2008
Discover making headway to achieving US acceptance parity
Analysis of: Moneris Solutions Signs Merchant Acquiring Agreement with Discover Financial Services | www.businesswire.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Discover is soldiering away on its path to merchant acceptance parity with MasterCard and Visa in the US. Closing the acceptance gap will produce greater cardholder spend and richer interchange, thereby enriching Discover’s value proposition for third-party issuers, which in turn will enhance the value...

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