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Mark MariottiAugust 8, 2008
The US refined petrolium gasoline consumer must now smell the coffee
Analysis of: Chrysler Offers Gas Deal To Jolt Sales | online.wsj.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
For many decades, the world's refined petrolium gasoline consumer  have not had such a plentiful and affordable stream of energy. Finally, the US refined petrolium gasoline consumer has experienced a history of $.27 a gallon in the sixties to $4.50 a gallon today. Price, will eventually CHANGE...
Bill BradwayJuly 14, 2008
Time to Say Goodbye to the Old American Mortgage Pie?
Analysis of: U.S. Weighs Takeover of Two Mortgage Giants | www.nytimes.com
Author: Bill Bradway, Founder & Managing Director, Bradway Research, LLC
The news that Treasury Secretary Paulson and Fed Chairman Bernanke are trying to reassure the broader markets that Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) will not be allowed to fail has not produced the expected calming effect on the markets. Shares of both firms have plunged into single digits. Who...
June 30, 2008
MasterCard removes Amex suit overhang
Analysis of: Amex to Get $1.8B in MasterCard Deal, Warns of Credit Woes | www.americanbanker.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
While MasterCard arguably will pay American Express too much, the settlement removes a troubling overhang.   It is time for MasterCard and Visa Inc. to focus their energies on fending off a potentially far more damaging threat: the “Credit Card Fair Fee Act of 2008.”
June 27, 2008
GE chose a less than optimal market in which to unload its US credit card business
Analysis of: Nobody's Snapping Up GE's Plastic: Possible Buyers of Private-Label Business Worry About Consumers' Shallow Pockets | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Angst about the consumer credit environment and risk associated with GE Consumer Finance’s near-prime retail credit card portfolio, not surprisingly, have given a number of large US card issuers who otherwise should have been keen to bid, cause for pause. Nonetheless, for the right buyer – most likely...
June 26, 2008
Chicago Fed Payments Fraud: Perception versus Reality
Analysis of: Assessing the landscape of payments fraud | www.chicagofed.org
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Conference take-aways: (1) All payment systems – paper checks, truncated checks, pin and signature debit cards and credit cards and ACH are subject to fraud. (2)  Fraud prevention systems need to take a holistic enterprise-wide rather than a point solution approach.      ...
Mark MariottiJune 19, 2008
Hardware & Software Duality
Analysis of: HP to Acquire EDS for $13.9 Billion | www.hp.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
HP is a long time solid provider of computer hardware, and EDS (founded the information technology out-sourcing industry more than 45 years ago) is a longtime provider of system services. The Plan of Merger, dated as of May 13, 2008, by and among EDS, Hewlett-Packard Company and Hawk Merger...
June 17, 2008
No Longer Living in a Material World, Credit Cards Breaking Free of Plastic Boundaries
Analysis of: Mobile phones to replace credit cards | www.bankingtimes.co.uk
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The implication of credit cards being displaced by mobile phones represents one more important change in the payments industry; the shift to a virtualized account.  In the near future, it is likely that consumers will no longer need plastic cards, as transactions will be enabled through...
Mark MariottiJune 17, 2008
Las Vegas Housing Parabola
Analysis of: HOME INVENTORY INCREASES IN MAY | www.lvrj.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
With 45 percent of contingent sales identified as "short sales," or sales in which the lender will be required to accept less than the principal balance owed, we can't expect investor demand to grow. Investors currently have other more liquid and stable securities to place their bets, and...
June 11, 2008
Plucky Revolution Money takes on payment giants
Analysis of: New Brand Pitches Security, Transfer Link | www.americanbanker.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Revolution Money vies to win share away from the card payment network and money transfer establishment. It intends to compete as an open network, with lower base merchant acceptance fees, merchant-sponsored pos cardholder incentives, better fraud prophylactics and a money transfer feature. Reasonable...
Bill BradwayJune 6, 2008
Delinquencies Sprout Like Weeds: Time For a Pain Check
Analysis of: Delinquencies and Foreclosures Increase in Latest Mortgage Bankers Survey | www.mortgagebankers.org
Author: Bill Bradway, Founder & Managing Director, Bradway Research, LLC
Adverse news continues to sprout headlines describing the expansion of delinquencies into new corners of the US bank and thrift loan portfolios. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that 1Q2008 mortgage delinquency and foreclosure rates continued to expand abovemuch 4Q2007 levels and are now much...

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