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Art GillisOctober 20, 2008
There Are 814 Good Reasons For A Bank To Switch To A New Core System. One Is Usually Enough.
Analysis of: Despite Tons of Talk Banks Don't Upgrade | www.americanbanker.com
Author: Art Gillis, President, Computer Based Solutions, Inc.
As long as the de novo movement continues, there will be new core sales.  Last year, 39% of new core sales were to de novo banks. In my opinion, there are 1,280 FIs that are ripe for a better core system and the only way they’ll get it is if vendors commission Buffett/Gates sales types to make...
Mark MariottiOctober 14, 2008
Automotive industry competition, more not less
Analysis of: GM, Ford SharesHit New Lows As Sentiment Fades Further | online.wsj.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
More competition, not less is required within the automotive industry. Positive results will eventually be rewarded by a free market.
September 30, 2008
Blame the models and Risk Based Pricing
Analysis of: Why Risk Models Failed to Spot the Credit Crisis by Adam Davidson | www.npr.org
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
Models only cover certain variables and the crisis involved much more than mortgage pricing and a few macroeconomic issues. Risked based pricing as used in the mortgage industry had an underlying flaw that caused the models to fail. Greed played the other part.
September 29, 2008
WAMU CLOSED: SOLD TO JP MORGAN CHASE FOR $1.9 BILLION
Analysis of: WaMu Becomes Biggest Bank to Fail In US History | news.yahoo.com
Author: Kamala Worthington, Former VP, Marketing Product Manager, Bank of America Corporation
Rumors had been swirling over the last few weeks that WAMU was shopping for a buyer, however, the OTS (the Office of Thrift Supervision) couldn't allow WAMU to continue its operations under constraints of deposit outflows exceeding $16 billion in the last week or so and JP Morgan Chase becomes the benefactor...
Mark MariottiSeptember 15, 2008
Southern California Mortgage Lending Rates Drop
Analysis of: Mortgage market improves with new market-leading deals | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Effective immediately after the Fannie/Freddie take over, the DITECH origination service of Cerberus' GMAC Financial Services launched a television campaign to offer 5.5% interest rate mortgage loans.
Mark MariottiSeptember 15, 2008
The Bear Sterns Equity Strip Model
Analysis of: Lehman Brothers faces Korean takeover bid | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Unlikely that a suitor firm will take over Lehman directly by itself without assistance, perks or partners. As you may recall Bear Stearns in a similar situation, and remember that the Feds had to lend and assist JP Morgan with the acquisition.
September 12, 2008
What to expect from the bailout.
Analysis of: U.S. bails out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, ousts CEOs | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
1. Shows how truly bad the mortgage industry has gotten and how scared the feds are of where we are going. 2. If the major source of liquidity can not survive, who will? 3. What should be the outcome.
Mark MariottiAugust 18, 2008
Localized Real Estate Recovery
Analysis of: Mortgage lending falls 32% as prices slump | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
The prior several years have definitely been a severe downturn (stating the obvious) in the destruction of existing housing prices. Bloated inventories, overextended borrowers, lack of decent funding, macro economics, lack of faith in the valuations have all contributed to this mess. But it...
Mark MariottiAugust 12, 2008
It's a cycle, stupid!
Analysis of: Will Tom McKillop resign from Royal Bank of Scotland? | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Yes, it is a mess - I have seen about 3 or 4 cycles such as these over the last 30-years.  We have all seen this mess coming years ago. In 2004, a vast amount of mortgage originators were doing some very creative things to sell mortgages. HEOPA and high cost was in effect while these negative...
Mark MariottiAugust 8, 2008
Writedown low is a floor, cycles continue...
Analysis of: Wall Street braced for further $11bn writedown at Citigroup | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
a) markets self correct b) yes all sorts of pain occurs c) the cycle continues... lows become floors and investors flood in

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