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Mark MariottiAugust 18, 2008
Localized Real Estate Recovery
Analysis of: Mortgage lending falls 32% as prices slump | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
The prior several years have definitely been a severe downturn (stating the obvious) in the destruction of existing housing prices. Bloated inventories, overextended borrowers, lack of decent funding, macro economics, lack of faith in the valuations have all contributed to this mess. But it...
Mark MariottiAugust 12, 2008
It's a cycle, stupid!
Analysis of: Will Tom McKillop resign from Royal Bank of Scotland? | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Yes, it is a mess - I have seen about 3 or 4 cycles such as these over the last 30-years.  We have all seen this mess coming years ago. In 2004, a vast amount of mortgage originators were doing some very creative things to sell mortgages. HEOPA and high cost was in effect while these negative...
Mark MariottiAugust 8, 2008
Writedown low is a floor, cycles continue...
Analysis of: Wall Street braced for further $11bn writedown at Citigroup | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
a) markets self correct b) yes all sorts of pain occurs c) the cycle continues... lows become floors and investors flood in
Mark MariottiAugust 8, 2008
The US refined petrolium gasoline consumer must now smell the coffee
Analysis of: Chrysler Offers Gas Deal To Jolt Sales | online.wsj.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
For many decades, the world's refined petrolium gasoline consumer  have not had such a plentiful and affordable stream of energy. Finally, the US refined petrolium gasoline consumer has experienced a history of $.27 a gallon in the sixties to $4.50 a gallon today. Price, will eventually CHANGE...
Bill BradwayJuly 14, 2008
Time to Say Goodbye to the Old American Mortgage Pie?
Analysis of: U.S. Weighs Takeover of Two Mortgage Giants | www.nytimes.com
Author: Bill Bradway, Founder & Managing Director, Bradway Research, LLC
The news that Treasury Secretary Paulson and Fed Chairman Bernanke are trying to reassure the broader markets that Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) will not be allowed to fail has not produced the expected calming effect on the markets. Shares of both firms have plunged into single digits. Who...
June 30, 2008
MasterCard removes Amex suit overhang
Analysis of: Amex to Get $1.8B in MasterCard Deal, Warns of Credit Woes | www.americanbanker.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
While MasterCard arguably will pay American Express too much, the settlement removes a troubling overhang.   It is time for MasterCard and Visa Inc. to focus their energies on fending off a potentially far more damaging threat: the “Credit Card Fair Fee Act of 2008.”
June 27, 2008
GE chose a less than optimal market in which to unload its US credit card business
Analysis of: Nobody's Snapping Up GE's Plastic: Possible Buyers of Private-Label Business Worry About Consumers' Shallow Pockets | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Angst about the consumer credit environment and risk associated with GE Consumer Finance’s near-prime retail credit card portfolio, not surprisingly, have given a number of large US card issuers who otherwise should have been keen to bid, cause for pause. Nonetheless, for the right buyer – most likely...
June 26, 2008
Chicago Fed Payments Fraud: Perception versus Reality
Analysis of: Assessing the landscape of payments fraud | www.chicagofed.org
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Conference take-aways: (1) All payment systems – paper checks, truncated checks, pin and signature debit cards and credit cards and ACH are subject to fraud. (2)  Fraud prevention systems need to take a holistic enterprise-wide rather than a point solution approach.      ...
Mark MariottiJune 19, 2008
Hardware & Software Duality
Analysis of: HP to Acquire EDS for $13.9 Billion | www.hp.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
HP is a long time solid provider of computer hardware, and EDS (founded the information technology out-sourcing industry more than 45 years ago) is a longtime provider of system services. The Plan of Merger, dated as of May 13, 2008, by and among EDS, Hewlett-Packard Company and Hawk Merger...
June 17, 2008
No Longer Living in a Material World, Credit Cards Breaking Free of Plastic Boundaries
Analysis of: Mobile phones to replace credit cards | www.bankingtimes.co.uk
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The implication of credit cards being displaced by mobile phones represents one more important change in the payments industry; the shift to a virtualized account.  In the near future, it is likely that consumers will no longer need plastic cards, as transactions will be enabled through...

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