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GLG News by Experts in the Food & Beverage Council

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September 5, 2008
Beef Demand Confusion
Analysis of: Restaurant Chains Concerned About Rising Commodity Prices and Energy Costs | www.chainleader.com
Author: David Maloni, Principal, American Restaurant Association Inc.
The recent inflation in the USDA choice beef cutout has been mostly due to appreciation in many of the end cut sections of the carcass.  This could be could good news for beef middle meat and portioned steak buyers going forward.  Probably not good news for beef trimming and grinds buyers. ...
August 29, 2008
Russia's Game of Chicken
Analysis of: Agencies: Russia may cut poultry, pork import quotas by "hundreds of thousands of tons" | www.chicagotribune.com
Author: David Maloni, Principal, American Restaurant Association Inc.
Earlier this week Russia’s agricultural minister,  Alexei Gordeyev, announced that they are considering reducing current pork and poultry import quota agreements with supplying countries.  The perception is that the announcement is in retaliation to US’s support of Georgia in the Russia/Georgia...
August 25, 2008
Forthcoming Dairy Market Expectations
Analysis of: Price increases help Kraft Foods lift profits | www.newsdaily.com
Author: David Maloni, Principal, American Restaurant Association Inc.
Besides the impact on current milk supplies, milk per cow yields can be an indicator of forthcoming milk cow herd contraction and expansion. 
August 25, 2008
The Shakeout Begins
Analysis of: Frozen yogurt is cool again | www.msnbc.msn.com
Author: Rick Kowalski, Chief Operating Officer, It's A Grind Coffee Franchise LLC
The new frozen yogurt fad has two distinct differences from the prior wave that launched TCBY and others. 1.) The self-serve aspect allows customers the flexibility to consume as much as they want, appealing to price buyers and those that will spend more. 2.) The coffee house industry has proven that...
August 15, 2008
Emerging Economies, Emerging Exports
Analysis of: Russia, U.S. Agree Poultry Import Quota Cut | www.thepoultrysite.com
Author: David Maloni, Principal, American Restaurant Association Inc.
In June, nearly half of the 17 million pound increase in US butter exports was to countries that we did not ship any butter to in June of 2007. With different international economies growing so is their consumption of commodities. 
Robert CroppAugust 14, 2008
China is world's fastest growing dairy market: Opportunities for U.S. dairy companies.
Analysis of: Kiwi giant aims to milk the China cash cow | www.nzherald.co.nz
Author: Robert Cropp, Professor Emeritus, University of Wisconsin
China is committed to improve the nutrition of its population and dairy products are a major source. China is focusing on expanding its dairy farming and milk production. China is struggling to keep up with the growth in its demand for milk and dairy products. 
August 11, 2008
Chicken Market Headwinds
Analysis of: Ahead of the Bell: Pilgrim's Pride | www.forbes.com
Author: David Maloni, Principal, American Restaurant Association Inc.
Will the forthcoming chicken production cutbacks be enough to drive chicken prices higher and return profitability for most of the industry?  History tells us that chicken producers will be facing a strong headwind this fall
August 1, 2008
Eventful Dairy Market Week
Analysis of: Dairy farmers enjoy high prices | minnesota.publicradio.org
Author: David Maloni, Principal, American Restaurant Association Inc.
To reduce the milk cow herd farmers will need to ramp up dairy cow slaughter. That didn’t happen in June. Weekly milk cow slaughter data suggests it didn’t happen in July either.
July 25, 2008
Food Inflation...No Small Potatoes
Analysis of: Consumer Price Index Summary | www.bls.gov
Author: David Maloni, Principal, American Restaurant Association Inc.
For the first time recorded, corn acreage in Idaho is surpassing potatoes.  What’s my point?  Rising grain prices are leading to broader food inflation than initially meets the eye. 
July 18, 2008
Corn still dancing with ethanol?
Analysis of: Corn Prices Cutting into Ethanol Profits | www.redorbit.com
Author: David Maloni, Principal, American Restaurant Association Inc.
Could ethanol producers run at less than capacity?  Could corn usage growth for ethanol be slowed or flat?  The answer is; look what happened to the US biodiesel industry with $65 soybean oil.

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