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GLG News by Ethanol Experts (Brazil)

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Philip CorzineOctober 31, 2007
Negative Image + Falling Returns = Problems For Biofuels
Analysis of: Global Backlash on Biofuels Could Overshadow Future Potential, Says Worldwatch Institute | soyatech.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
The biofuels sector continues to be the focus of negative stories in the US and Global press, highlighting many of the downsides of the push towards ethanol and biodiesel.  These stories, by themselves, might not create significant problems for the industry, but in combination with the twin economic...
Philip CorzineOctober 7, 2007
Find a way to spend more, rather than complaining about higher prices for commodities.
Analysis of: As Prices Soar, U.S. Food Aid Buys Less | www.nytimes.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
Ethanol and corn has been booming not because the US government called for it, but rather because there were opportunities for profits, largely due to oil prices. Subsidies for biofuels in the US should have a hard end-date. Dollars spent on food aid should increase, rather than expecting world commodity...
Philip CorzineOctober 7, 2007
GMO's riding the biofuel train too.
Analysis of: Government allows import of GM seed edible oil | www.business-standard.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
GMO products will likely ride the biofuel train into other formerly closed markets, as global supplies of corn and beans shrink due to biofuel consumption, and non-GMO alternatives disappear.
Gary DrimmerOctober 7, 2007
ADM Could Switch Some Ethanol Capacity to High Fructose Corn Syrup
Analysis of: ADM shrugs off low ethanol prices, but keeps options open | news.medill.northwestern.edu
Author: Gary Drimmer, President, Drimmer & Associates International
Ethanol margins are hurting, given high corn prices and low ethanol prices. Large plants still have positive margins, but they are greatly reduced. Part of ADM 's ethanol comes from plants it originally switched from high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) and starch production.
Gary DrimmerOctober 5, 2007
India Opens Imports to Genetically Modified (GMO) Soybean Oil
Analysis of: Government allows import of GM seed edible oil | www.business-standard.com
Author: Gary Drimmer, President, Drimmer & Associates International
More countries are producing growing quantities of genetically modified (GMO) soybeans and corn. As prices of foods climbs, countries around the world are being forced to recognize that these crops are safe and cheaper. Will the EU join the crowd?
Philip CorzineOctober 4, 2007
Slowdowns and consolidations ahead for ethanol, but pain today will create more profits tomorrow.
Analysis of: Ethanol Boom Is Running Out of Gas | online.wsj.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
Ethanol is headed for a slowdown and consolidations, but will emerge stronger and more efficient. Cash corn near $3.05 and ethanol near $1.58 per gallon leaves a profit margin of only a few cents per bushel. Corn prices will fall as ethanol plants slow consumption, but weather...
Philip CorzineSeptember 27, 2007
Economics working against soy-based biodiesel
Analysis of: Biodiesel boom heads to Wall Street | money.cnn.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
With current prices for soybeans, biodiesel's primary feedstock, its economic viability is questionable. With soybean oil selling for near $0.40 per pound, costs to produce soy-based biodiesel are running $3.20-$3.30 per gallon, at or slightly above current prices for diesel of $3.00-$3.10. The Federal...
Philip CorzineSeptember 19, 2007
Brazil's Addition Of Ethanol Subsidies To Their WTO Appeal Raises The Stakes For US Agriculture
Analysis of: Brazil Wants Probe of U.S. Farm Aid | www.forbes.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
Brazil’s complaint, originally filed in July, now includes a challenge on the payments for “energy subsidies”—ie: ethanol’s $0.51 per gallon subsidy, and the biodiesel blending credit. The US says it considers those “industrial” subsidies, and not a part of this WTO discussion Brazil has already won...
Philip CorzineSeptember 14, 2007
ADM, Bunge and others, will face many challanges in the Brazilian sugar sector.
Analysis of: Ethanol Giants Struggle To Crack Brazil Market | online.wsj.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
Multinationals like ADM will enter the Brazilian sector, but should they do it now? Overoptimism in Brazil's sugar sector will lead to overpricing of assets The Brazilian sugar sector may be headed for a correction.
Philip CorzineSeptember 7, 2007
The opportunity to make significant changes in US farm policy will likely be squandered, more of the same the most likely outcome.
Analysis of: U.S. Ag Secretary Wants Lower Farm Subsidy Limit | www.soyatech.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
It appears that Congress may, yet again, renew many of the provisions in the 2002 program…pushing the issue of true reforms to be  played out in the courts of the WTO.  The US will eventually be forced to "level the playing field" on these issues, and it may be forced on the farm sector at...

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