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Mark MariottiSeptember 15, 2008
The Bear Sterns Equity Strip Model
Analysis of: Lehman Brothers faces Korean takeover bid | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Unlikely that a suitor firm will take over Lehman directly by itself without assistance, perks or partners. As you may recall Bear Stearns in a similar situation, and remember that the Feds had to lend and assist JP Morgan with the acquisition.
September 12, 2008
SMS - The Little Engine That Keeps Driving the Mobile Industry
Analysis of: Text-Messaging Rates Come Under Scrutiny | online.wsj.com
Author: Tal Raeside, Managing Director, Insight Strategic Services
The argument that SMS pricing is not linked to cost has always been true.  There will come a point where SMS pricing is more elastic (either because the price becomes too high or there are messaging alternatives), but we have not reached that point yet.
September 10, 2008
US Mobile Innovation Slow to Develop but Here to Stay
Analysis of: The U.S. Closes the Mobile Innovation Gap | www.businessweek.com
Author: Tal Raeside, Managing Director, Insight Strategic Services
The US was not initially a leader in mobile, but the Internet is the great equalizer that will propel the US to the top of mobile innovation.
September 10, 2008
Smartphones Still Have Growth Ahead
Analysis of: Smart-Phone Sales Growth Slows As Consumer Demand Declines | online.wsj.com
Author: Tal Raeside, Managing Director, Insight Strategic Services
There is still plenty of growth left in the smartphone market but device manufacturers and operators must continue to innovate to entice customers to keep upgrading.  
September 9, 2008
MAXroam is the New Skype!
Analysis of: Having Fully Shattered Global Voice Roaming Fees, MaxRoam To Whack At Data Next | www.informationweek.com
Author: Paul Massie, Sr. Director of IT and Facilities, Genesis Microchip Inc.
MAXroam is providing a solution to one of today’s biggest problems in mobile phones – the cost of International roaming.  They are offering both data and voice Internationally at reasonable rates.  They are potentially the next Skype, with a similar value and impact on the carriers.
September 9, 2008
Microsoft Seals VMWare’s Fate?
Analysis of: Microsoft Virtualization Products Due In Thirty Days | www.informationweek.com
Author: Paul Massie, Sr. Director of IT and Facilities, Genesis Microchip Inc.
Microsoft’s latest virtualization announcements are another nail in VMWare’s coffin  The key fact is not so much that Microsoft is offering this capability, since everyone knew it was coming.  The key fact is how soon and how cheaply it is available.   “Free” is always a compelling...
September 5, 2008
Red Hat Focuses on Virtualization
Analysis of: Red Hat buys virtualization company for $107M | triangle.bizjournals.com
Author: Paul Massie, Sr. Director of IT and Facilities, Genesis Microchip Inc.
Red Hat’s acquisition of Qumranet will strengthen their virtualization offerings, thus providing more competition for VMWare and Microsoft.  Qumranet’s technology will move Red Hat significantly forward, particularly on desktop virtualization.  This is starting to raise the question of whether...
August 26, 2008
No Recession For Computer Hardware
Analysis of: Computer Hardware: Recession-Proof? | www.businessweek.com
Author: Paul Massie, Sr. Director of IT and Facilities, Genesis Microchip Inc.
Both the server and PC markets seem to have held up very well during the past months, and barring a catastrophic collapse of the economy, likely will continue to do well.  Credit must go to the innovations in both technology and business processes achieved primarily by HP, Dell and Intel.
August 21, 2008
Open Source vs. VMWare and Microsoft
Analysis of: Xen Community proposing the latest feature set for 3.3 | weblog.infoworld.com
Author: Paul Massie, Sr. Director of IT and Facilities, Genesis Microchip Inc.
The next evolution of Xen software puts further pressure on VMWare’s market share and margins.  This is a clear indication that VMWare’s business model will require a major overhaul sometime in the next year or two.  Microsoft will be less impacted since they have less today. 
Mark MariottiAugust 18, 2008
Localized Real Estate Recovery
Analysis of: Mortgage lending falls 32% as prices slump | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
The prior several years have definitely been a severe downturn (stating the obvious) in the destruction of existing housing prices. Bloated inventories, overextended borrowers, lack of decent funding, macro economics, lack of faith in the valuations have all contributed to this mess. But it...

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