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GLG News by Currency and Exchange Rate Experts: Economists (US)

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September 12, 2008
Understanding Productivity Growth and the Business Cycle
Analysis of: Productivity Jumps as Costs Fall | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The U.S. economy is at a pivotal point, and this data release provides important information about the direction the economy may take over the next six to twelve months.  There is good news and bad news in the report: Lower unit labor costs suggest that the Fed will be less worried about inflation...
August 16, 2007
Deploying the Right Instruments at the Right Time: A Central Banker's Job
Analysis of: Paulson Says Market Won't Stall Growth | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Some members on this site have called for an easing of monetary conditions through a rate cut. They do not agree with the Fed's decision to leave rates alone for the time being. But the Fed's mantra is: deploy the right instruments at the right time for the right objective. Touching all three bases...
August 15, 2007
Central Bank Independence or Lack Thereof
Analysis of: The mandarins of money | www.economist.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
An understanding of the factors determining central bank independence is essential if we wish to see how central banking and the conduct of monetary policy differs between most industrial and emerging market  countries.  The article in The Economist cites a recent IMF study...
August 13, 2007
Steady As She Goes: Why the Fed's Decision to Leave Rates Alone Was Correct
Analysis of: Credit Crunch in U.S. Upends Global Markets | www.washingtonpost.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
A correct understanding of the role of the Fed as a central bank and of the policy instruments at its disposal is key to understanding its decision to leave interest rates unchanged earlier this week. Calls for lowering rates may be premature given the current state of the economy as a whole, not...
August 8, 2007
Price Controls in the Indian Economy?
Analysis of: FM rules out easing of tax burden on Corporations | www.businessstandard.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
It is important to analyze the distorting effects of price controls if in fact Nitish Grover is right in saying that the Indian government is contemplating imposition of such controls. This article will look at some of the consequences of price controls for the Indian economy. 
August 7, 2007
Easy Credit and the Propensivity to Save
Analysis of: Seeds Of Excess: How Credit Got So easy And Why It's Tightening | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The WSJ article analyzes the Federal Reserve Bank's (FRB's) reaction to the Asain financial crisis of the late 1990s and the high-tech bust of 2000-01. It is understandable that the FRB wanted to avoid a severe economic downturn resulting from these meltdowns by pumping money into the economy by...
August 6, 2007
Mortgages versus Credit Cards: Shift in Consumer Perception
Analysis of: The Debt-Ometers: How to Read the Sub-prime and Other Consumer-Loan Dials | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Understanding the forces driving loan delinquencies in the US mortgage and credit card markets will allow regulators to be better prepared to meet the challenges. Moreover, the differences in consumer perceptions regarding the two loan markets is also important to mortgage companies and banks that...
August 2, 2007
New Cancer Drug: The Way Forward
Analysis of: Cancer Drug Fails, So Maker Tries New Pitch | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
How the company that developed this cancer drug moves forward in addressing legitimate issues (raised by the FDA) will determine its credibility with the public. It's not just a matter of making a new pitch for the drug because at stake here is not only the long-term viability of the company,...
August 1, 2007
Crude Oil Prices and the US Economy
Analysis of: High Crude Oil Prices and the US Economy | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
It is important to know how the nature of current oil price increases are different from previous oil price shocks. That difference feeds into the longer-term oil price scenario. While crude oil prices have risen substantially since 2003, they don't seem to quite affect the US economy to the extent...
August 1, 2007
safety Fee on Imported Food Is a Good Idea
Analysis of: Bill Would Impose Fee On Some Food Imports | www.washingtonpost.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
1. Fee on applicable food import will increase the effective rate of tariff. US needs to make sure that this does not invite retaliatory tariff increases on its exports to the country in question. 2. FDA needs to examine how funds derived from the fees can be most effectively utilized. For instance,...

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