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May 12, 2008
Whose loss is it, Banks or Investors?
Analysis of: The Biggest Housing Losers | online.wsj.com
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
1. While the article does a good job of pointing out that the losses will be greater under the House FHA Plan than expected and that the tax payers will carry the cost, it along with the plan by the House  misses the mark by thinking banks will take advantage of the plan. 2. The real owners of...
Mark MariottiApril 29, 2008
If history teaches us anything... it teaches us NOT to predict the future.
Analysis of: Is now the time to aggressively buy semi stocks, i.e. is the bottom of the cycle near? | www.edn.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
But the future can be managed. We can look at the past cycles and then extrapolate forward potential probabilities. When markets contract, they can keep contracting to oblivion. But the probabilities of markets which are infrastructure tested, tried and true, tend to rebound. Demand growth and upgrades...
April 28, 2008
Credit Scoring Should Not Be Used In Determining The Price For Insurance Except For Bonding.
Analysis of: Credit Scoring | www.iii.org
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Credit scoring further injures those applicants who have had very difficult changes in their lives- mostly by no fault of their own.
Mark MariottiApril 28, 2008
Rotation continues towards Internet commerce.
Analysis of: Internet Economy Looks Strong, Some Experts Say | www.cio.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Many factors, such as; convenience,  better fraud protection, acceptance,  user interface improvements, peer reviews, dysfunctional brick and mortar stores, high transportation costs all contribute to the growth of Internet commerce. The list is very short which tracks products and services...
Mark MariottiApril 28, 2008
Trading is a transaction based model
Analysis of: TD Ameritrade 2Q profit rises 32 percent on trading activity | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Whether markets are up or down - if a trading company such as TD Ameritrade (merged from many different trading companies and platforms), Scottrade, Schwab, Knight, etc runs their business efficiently, trade volume effect growth.Seems that towards the end (long trade exits - short...
April 24, 2008
JP Morgan's Prudent Move
Analysis of: Double Take: JPMorgan Quietly Raising $6 Billion | www.housingwire.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
JP Morgan's capital raising is prudent because (1) the Bear Stearns acquisition will be dilutive to JP Morgan's capital position, and (2) the current turmoil in the credit markets is far from over.
April 22, 2008
Cat Modeling is Here to Stay
Analysis of: Insurers Overly Focused On Cat Models, Says Expert | www.propertyandcasualtyinsurancenews.com
Author: Joseph Delaney, Managing Partner, Hilb Rogal and Hobbs of Metropolitan Washington, Inc.
Primary insurers and reinsurers will demand that catastrophic modeling be used in order to justify their underwriting decisions of this type of insurance.  These newer models in conjunction with in-house capacity aggregation tools (Insurers now know where and how much of their capacity...
April 21, 2008
Florida's Soft Market May End Due To Legislative, Not Natural Distasters.
Analysis of: Senate passes homeowner's insurance bill tougher on companies | www.sun-sentinel.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Let The Industry Stabilize And Grow By It's Own Dynamics Instead Of Another House Bill. 
Mark MariottiApril 21, 2008
Congress changed the rules
Analysis of: Freddie to Finance Jumbo Loans | online.wsj.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Freddie Mac (GSE - Government-Sponsored Enterprises) wastes no time and begins to finance $10 billion to $15 billion in jumbo mortgages from big lenders. This follows the actions of other GSE's to add liquidity into the real estate market. I sincerely believe that this effort will help to flatten...
Mark MariottiApril 21, 2008
Steady Freddy... Fannie... Penny and the FHA
Analysis of: Mortgage applications up, FHA index climbs more | www.reuters.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Current 'so called' mortgage metrics are not necessarially useful now or in the future. Ratios and numbers can always leave room for interpretaion and misdiagnosis.   Definately positive refi action is taking place for the strapped borrowers and principal committed investors; the GSE's should keep...

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