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GLG News by Council Members Knowledgeable on Mortgage Guaranty Insurance

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September 15, 2008
With the GSEs "Nationalized," Will There Still be a Market for Mortgage Insurance?
Analysis of: U.S. bails out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, ousts CEOs | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Martin Kamarck, Principal, MAKO Consulting LLC
The GSEs succeeded in supporting the creation of a broad, deep, liquid national market for mortgages.  They used their market power to impose standardization on mortgage terms and underwriting.  Thus was born the "conforming mortgage." Mortgage insurance is an artifact of this history. ...
Mark MariottiSeptember 15, 2008
The Bear Sterns Equity Strip Model
Analysis of: Lehman Brothers faces Korean takeover bid | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Unlikely that a suitor firm will take over Lehman directly by itself without assistance, perks or partners. As you may recall Bear Stearns in a similar situation, and remember that the Feds had to lend and assist JP Morgan with the acquisition.
September 12, 2008
With the GSEs "Nationalized," Will There Still be a Market for Mortgage Insurance?
Analysis of: U.S. bails out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, ousts CEOs | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Martin Kamarck, Principal, MAKO Consulting LLC
The GSEs succeeded in supporting the creation of a broad, deep, liquid national market for mortgages.  They used their market power to impose standardization on mortgage terms and underwriting.  Thus was born the "conforming mortgage." Mortgage insurance is an artifact of this history. ...
September 12, 2008
What to expect from the bailout.
Analysis of: U.S. bails out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, ousts CEOs | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
1. Shows how truly bad the mortgage industry has gotten and how scared the feds are of where we are going. 2. If the major source of liquidity can not survive, who will? 3. What should be the outcome.
September 12, 2008
With the GSEs "Nationalized," Will There Still be a Market for Mortgage Insurance?
Analysis of: U.S. bails out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, ousts CEOs | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Martin Kamarck, Principal, MAKO Consulting LLC
The GSEs succeeded in supporting the creation of a broad, deep, liquid national market for mortgages.  They used their market power to impose standardization on mortgage terms and underwriting.  Thus was born the "conforming mortgage." Mortgage insurance is an artifact of this history. ...
September 11, 2008
GSE Takeover Will Not Materially Reduce Mortgage Interest Rates
Analysis of: Government GSE Takeover Could Reduce Cost of Mortgages | www.bigbuilderonline.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The GSE takeover will not significantly reduce mortgage interest rates.  The GSEs will now be focused on propping up the U.S. economy--not on prudent lending and risk-based pricing.
John JukoskiSeptember 11, 2008
Good Idea, Wrong Justification
Analysis of: Lehman Brothers faces Korean takeover bid | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
KDB in this case is playing the role of the blind squirrel who finds a nut.  It is wise to invest opportunistically, in ventures that are cheap, WHEN YOU UNDERSTAND THAT YOU ARE NOT KNOWLEDGEBLE IN HOW TO RUN THESE BUSINESSES. 
John JukoskiSeptember 11, 2008
Credit vs. Collateral
Analysis of: ECB `Overpricing' of Asset-Backed Debt May Shut Out Investors | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
The question to answer here is whether or not the ECB is a collateral-based lender.
John JukoskiSeptember 11, 2008
Markets can function regardless of the ECB's actions
Analysis of: ECB to Change Auction Rules to Stop Banks `Gaming the System,' Mersch Says | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
The fact the ECB might accept securities other central banks (or private lenders) might not is not preventing the market for these securities to correct.  Pledging securities to a collateralized lender will not affect the ability to sell these securities when the opportunity presents itself.
John JukoskiSeptember 3, 2008
This is a synthetic market.
Analysis of: Bank Debt Risk Rises as Writedowns, Losses Exceed $500 Billion | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
Let me be brief.  This is a synthetic market that allows participants to express their sentiments (wager) without participating in the cash market.  Beware reading too much into the levels at which items trade in any synthetic market.

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