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GLG News by Council Members Knowledgeable on Mortgage Guaranty Insurance

Maureen Bolton, Principal
Global Capital Access
Analysis of: UBS falls victim to credit squeeze (www.ft.com)
This article is important not only because it announces a US$1.3 billion write-down of UBS' fixed income portfolio, but because it parallels the situation with that of Bear Stearns' (huge write-downs followed by the "departure" of a key executive) and questions whether there are more of such "disclosures"...
Joe Garrett, Principal Consultant
Garrett, Watts & Co
Analysis of: Could Kazakhstan suffer a credit crisis? (www.financeasia.com)
There just was, and to an extent still is, a global credit crisis, and financial system in Kazahkstan seems to have weathered it.
Maureen Bolton, Principal
Global Capital Access
Analysis of: Morgan Stanley to buy stake in China's Jutian Fund (www.reuters.com)
This article announcing Morgan Stanley's plans to invest in Jutian Fund Management is important because it reveals another component of Morgan Stanley's investment strategy.   It also indicates that wealthy Chinese may be a more lucrative target for foreign investors, as opposed to the potential...
Analysis of: Forget India; Call Centers Boom in Caribbean (abcnews.go.com)
The Caribbean, now is becoming a healthy and viable competitor with India for Outsourcing call centers.  This is the beginning of one country having less of a dominance on the market and of healthy competition between countries.        
Maureen Bolton, Principal
Global Capital Access
Analysis of: Forget India; Call Centers Boom in Caribbean (abcnews.go.com)
This article is important because it describes the nearly five-fold rise in call center businesses in Carribean countries such as Jamaica and the Dominican Republic.  The article also details the positive economic impact that opening one call center can have on such small countries. ...
Joe Garrett, Principal Consultant
Garrett, Watts & Co
September 24, 2007
What is their plan?
Analysis of: Accredited, Lone Star amend merger deal (www.reuters.com)
What a strange marriage, with Lone Star refusing to come to the wedding ceremony, Accredited sueing them, and the two eventually tieing the knot.  Lone Star must have some vision for what to do with Accredited, but at the moment, there is almost no market for sub-prime loans. The only logical plan...
Raj Mehra, President & Founder
Raj Mehra, President & Founder
Chelsea Advisory Services
Analysis of: E*Trade Hit By Mortgage Turmoil (online.wsj.com)
Loan loss reserves at banks are at historic lows. At the same time, the credit cycle has turned viciously negative, particularly for mortgages. Banking regulators are likely to ratchet the pressure up on banks to raise their loss reserves. The most vulnerable are banks with outsized exposure to the...
Joseph Smith, II, President & CEO
Default Mitigation Management
Analysis of: Financial crisis triggers first stress test (investing.reuters.co.uk)
Stress is yet to be seen, early indicators are bad, the future is going to be worse. The actions to date have failed the test for working out of the mortgage crisis. What is yet to come on the mortgage market can be changed if acted on, current trends are leading to disaster.
Maureen Bolton, Principal
Global Capital Access
Analysis of: MGIC, Radian End Merger Deal As Joint Venture Sustains Losses (online.wsj.com)
This article is important because it announces the break up of what was to be one of the most synergistic mergers in mortgage-insurance history.  MGIC with its portfolio of traditional mortgage and bond insurance business  coupled with a bit of international exposure and Radian with its new...
Raj Mehra, President & Founder
Raj Mehra, President & Founder
Chelsea Advisory Services
Analysis of: Countrywide Communicates Staff Reductions to Employees (online.wsj.com)
Countywide's announcement late last Friday and Angelo Mozilo's letter to employees provide a unique window into CFC's strategy for addressing the impact of the credit crisis on its business. The letter provides details on the steps that CFC is taking to shelter itself from the fallout. Unfortunately,...

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