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GLG News by Council Members Knowledgeable on Mortgage Guaranty Insurance

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March 7, 2008
Do We Really Need Bond Insurers?
Analysis of: Ambac Drops Breakup, Plans To Raise $1.5B | www.propertyandcasualtyinsurancenews.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
If a major bond insurer was to lose its triple-A rating the likely outcome is a redistribution of losses rather than incremental losses. In the longer run the impact could even be positive.
March 7, 2008
Prometheus, please bring the credit unions fire!
Analysis of: Why Credit Unions Just Don't Get It. | credituniontimes.com
Author: James Butler, President, Rigley Financial Corporation
Considering the current fall-out in Commercial Lending with the big banks (most of which were deservingly so), such as Wachovia, Chase, and Bank of America, the Credit Union field has such great opportunities to grow their market-share if they just decided to move into the 19th Century, instead of living...
March 7, 2008
Things get difficult when you lose 90% of your investments
Analysis of: MMC Sees 4Q Net Income Drop 62% | www.propertyandcasualtyinsurancenews.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Any company will have difficulty if they lose 90% of their investment portfolio.  I understand that it is difficult to see positive returns right now, however, companies in the insurance business that depend on their investments, as well as other things, to pay claims, should be invesiting in long...
March 3, 2008
Driving with the rear-view mirror - Recession Fears Realized
Analysis of: Analysts give CIOs advice on weathering recession | www.infoworldmagazine.com
Author: James Butler, President, Rigley Financial Corporation
The Economist recently described specific events that would lead one to believe that the U.S. Economy is already in the throws of a recession, yet the nay-sayers (including our illustrious President) state that there is still some signs of life negating this apparent event. I feel that like the 90's,...
March 3, 2008
Remember the old Wall Street adage: "When they raid the whorehouse, they take all the girls"
Analysis of: Here come more financiers' writedowns | money.cnn.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Simply, writedowns do not overstate the extent of problems at financial firms.  Yes, ultimately the coming "correction" will be overdone (given human nature, most are), but we just getting started (that is, expect a long, sharp recession) -- so things are going to get much ...
February 29, 2008
21st Century media exposure + dishonest people + the mortgage crisis could = more fraud
Analysis of: Could Subprime Mortgage Crisis Turn Desperate Homeowners Into Arsonists? | www.propertyandcasualtyinsurancenews.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Most people are never going to burn their homes down to collect insurance money.  That said, there will always be a contingent of people in the world that are willing and able to resort to fraud to better their position financially. With the advent of the internet and the ability for someone...
February 28, 2008
Lower Margins + Higher Volume = Closer Fiscal Management
Analysis of: MMC Sees 4Q Net Income Drop 62% | www.propertyandcasualtyinsurancenews.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
When competition sets price and  conditions in the securities markets produce losses of principal, the only way to raise the gross margin is by reducing operating.
February 28, 2008
Desperate times......
Analysis of: Could Subprime Mortgage Crisis Turn Desperate Homeowners Into Arsonists? | www.propertyandcasualtyinsurancenews.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Carriers expect desperate and dishonest acts during hard financial times.
February 28, 2008
It's not how broadly you spread it; it's how deep.
Analysis of: Arcane Market is Next to Face Big Credit Test | www.nytimes.com
Author: Martin Kamarck, Principal, MAKO Consulting LLC
Lesson of monoline debacle: Core issue is concentration of counterparty risk. 
February 27, 2008
Proposed Split Creates Short-Term Solution, Long-Term Problem
Analysis of: Bond Insurer Plans a Split to Protect Ratings | www.nytimes.com
Author: Martin Kamarck, Principal, MAKO Consulting LLC
Instead of protecting policyholders, NYS regulators have scrambled to assure availability of bond insurance for benefit of public debt issuers. Core of their strategy was to force shareholders and creditors (the banks) to contribute, one way or another, to the solution.  To do so, they pulled off...

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