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November 19, 2008Aircraft Values ARE Holding...
Analysis of: AMR, UAL Struggle to Sell Idle Jets as Market Slides | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Doug McVitie, Founder & Chief Consultant, Arran Aerospace
If Boeing ceo Carson is right, longer-term oil prices will settle at roughly 50-60% above the $54.95 or so November 17 Nymex close. So talk of aircraft values sliding today because airlines can't realise the book value they're carrying is like saying it's going to get drier because umbrella sales...
October 10, 2008Aerospace Opportuntiies Abound Today
Analysis of: Bombardier Predicts Continued Growth | www.avweb.com
Author: Doug McVitie, Founder & Chief Consultant, Arran Aerospace
Nodoby likes to be overly optimistic, especially these days, but strangely, many people looking in on the aerospace industry (especially those on the periphery -- and I don't just mean the BBC) can't see the wood for the trees. And in their little worlds, those trees are all falling down. Strange i...
October 7, 2008Airline Financing Won't Dry Up Tomorrow
Analysis of: Boeing expects to weather economy | seattlepi.nwsource.com
Author: Doug McVitie, Founder & Chief Consultant, Arran Aerospace
Though understandable, it's a bit of a stretch to draw a straight line between tightening credit markets and the ability of airlines to finance new aircraft. There's a connection of course, but it's a geared one. Liquidity isn't the real problem here, it's profitability...
September 29, 2008No panic in 787 supply chain
Analysis of: Boeing strike triggers subcontractor layoffs | www.komonews.com
Author: Doug McVitie, Founder & Chief Consultant, Arran Aerospace
Tier I/II suppliers and subcontractors to Boeing on the 787 are reacting to the current strike's implications by variously revising guidance, cutting back on worksheets, temporarily laying-off workers or rescheduling rotas. What they are not doing, is panicking.
September 23, 2008Aircraft Leasing is Here to Stay
Analysis of: AIG draws up list of assets for sale in attempt to prevent nationalisation | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Doug McVitie, Founder & Chief Consultant, Arran Aerospace
The aerospace industry today is depressingly replete with rent-a-quote, doomsday merchants who're only ever capable of worst-case rather than more useful, objective speculation. "AIG was near-collapse, so ILFC's business is in danger and therefore the entire aerospace industry is at risk..."....
April 2, 2008
Costs Are Sinking The Boating Industry
Analysis of: Ill economic winds batter boat industry | www.chron.com
Author: Gerard Buhrer, Owner, Spectrum International Sourcing
Costs Are Sinking The Boating Industry
Analysis of: Ill economic winds batter boat industry | www.chron.com
Author: Gerard Buhrer, Owner, Spectrum International Sourcing
High Fuel cost are keeping many boats tied to their slips or not being launched at all. Coupled with higher cost for storage, towing, moorage at destinations, and lower free income, the 2008 boating season will be very flat. New boat sales are at the lowest point in years and even used boats are flooding...
February 19, 2008Airbus China Year+ Behind Schedule
Analysis of: Production at Airbus' China plant to begin in August | capital.trend.az
Author: Doug McVitie, Founder & Chief Consultant, Arran Aerospace
Airbus' plans for a narrowbody assembly-line in Tianjin, China, are running more than a year behind schedule and costing EADS far more than anticipated.
February 19, 2008More pressure on MRAPs for Iraq
Analysis of: Vehicle delay blamed for Marines' deaths | news.yahoo.com
Author: Doug McVitie, Founder & Chief Consultant, Arran Aerospace
An independent report into DOD procurement aspects of the war in Iraq is strongly critical of alleged delays in U.S. sourcing and deployment of Mine Resistant Ambush Protected (MRAP) vehicles, credited in the past six months with a sharp drop in the U.S. casualty rate.
February 5, 2008Boeing Expects Limited Russian Returns
Analysis of: Boeing Foresees Its Future in Russian Air Transportation Market | www.engl.fis.ru
Author: Doug McVitie, Founder & Chief Consultant, Arran Aerospace
The current record aerospace industry order cycle will not be sustained by strong growth from Russia and Eastern Europe, no matter what the Russians themselves might say. Potential, yes, practicality, not yet...
January 30, 2008Airbus A350 orders cancelled
Analysis of: Eurofly cancels plan to buy three Airbus A350s after delays | www.dailyherald.com
Author: Doug McVitie, Founder & Chief Consultant, Arran Aerospace
Airbus has lost two airline customers in two weeks for its proposed A350XWB. While the orders themselves were small (13 aircraft total), they're another delay-engendered setback for EADS while Boeing is adding B787 orders despite its own compromised delivery schedule.
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