GLG News by Council Members Knowledgeable about Brazilian Sugar Industry
September 19, 2007
Brazil's Addition Of Ethanol Subsidies To Their WTO Appeal Raises The Stakes For US Agriculture
Analysis of:
Brazil Wants Probe of U.S. Farm Aid (www.forbes.com)
Brazil's Addition Of Ethanol Subsidies To Their WTO Appeal Raises The Stakes For US Agriculture
Brazil’s complaint, originally filed in July, now includes a challenge on the payments for “energy subsidies”—ie: ethanol’s $0.51 per gallon subsidy, and the biodiesel blending credit. The US says it considers those “industrial” subsidies, and not a part of this WTO discussion Brazil has already won...
Analysis of:
Ethanol Giants Struggle To Crack Brazil Market (online.wsj.com)
Multinationals like ADM will enter the Brazilian sector, but should they do it now? Overoptimism in Brazil's sugar sector will lead to overpricing of assets The Brazilian sugar sector may be headed for a correction.
September 7, 2007
The opportunity to make significant changes in US farm policy will likely be squandered, more of the same the most likely outcome.
Analysis of:
U.S. Ag Secretary Wants Lower Farm Subsidy Limit (www.soyatech.com)
The opportunity to make significant changes in US farm policy will likely be squandered, more of the same the most likely outcome.
It appears that Congress may, yet again, renew many of the provisions in the 2002 program…pushing the issue of true reforms to be played out in the courts of the WTO. The US will eventually be forced to "level the playing field" on these issues, and it may be forced on the farm sector at...
August 31, 2007
Redistribution of agricultural lands is a continuing challenge for Brazilian agriculture.
Analysis of:
Brazil's Landless Movement faces new agrarian reform (www.checkbiotech.org)
Redistribution of agricultural lands is a continuing challenge for Brazilian agriculture.
Brazil's landless social action movement remains a risk for both domestic and international agricultural businesses in Brazil. The MST's unhappiness with their efforts, to date, to work politically through the Lula administration, creates the risk of additional social actions by the organization....
Analysis of:
Why Deere Is Weeding Out Dealers Even As Farms Boom (online.wsj.com)
Toying with dealer-customer relationships is always a tricky matter, but as agricultural producers in the US get bigger, makers and sellers of farm machinery have to evolve, in order to be able to serve their customer's changing needs. Farm numbers falling Numbers of farms in the US continues...
August 13, 2007
Higher nitrogen prices (and higher soybean prices) will slow, or stop, growth in corn acres in 2008
Analysis of:
Impact of Rising Natural Gas Prices on U.S. Ammonia Supply (www.ers.usda.gov)
Higher nitrogen prices (and higher soybean prices) will slow, or stop, growth in corn acres in 2008
NH3, or Anhydrous Ammonia, is the primary source, for nitrogen, a key input for farmers in the production of corn. Domestic production of NH3 is down by 44% over past 4 years due to lower margins. Imports are up 115 % over the same period. Prices paid by farmers have increased by 129% over...
Analysis of:
Making the Best of $78-a-Barrel Oil (online.wsj.com)
There is an unlimited supply of nonfood feedstocks capable of serving as the raw material or biomass for cellulosic ethanol production around the world. There appears to be an unlimited demand for clean tech fuel supplies, including ethanol, world wide. Why then is...
August 13, 2007
Potential is there, but pushing new use's is a difficult process with low rates of success
Analysis of:
Cooking Up More Uses for the Leftovers for Biofuel Production (www.nytimes.com)
Potential is there, but pushing new use's is a difficult process with low rates of success
The potential to increase revenues by finding, or creating new uses for by-products is real, and potentially significant. However, past experiences indicate that trying to "push" new products onto the market is much harder than letting demand "pull" them in...and is made even more difficult by...
Analysis of:
USDA: 13 billion bushels of corn (deltafarmpress.com)
The USDA updated their crop estimate for this year's harvest to a silo breaking 13.053 billion bushels of corn. That is 233 million tons and enough corn to increase ethanol production, feed additional chickens and hogs, export more and still increase the carryover from last year. While the crop still...
Analysis of:
Grain Price Outlook: Soybeans-What will South American Do? (www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu)
Recent price lows and wide basis levels for December '07 corn have sent a "We don't need more corn planted in 2008" message to US growers. Sharply higher fertilizer and seed costs strip profits off the bottom line for the '08 budget while less than ideal growing weather...
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