GLG News by Council Members Knowledgeable about Brazilian Sugar Industry
Analysis of:
La Niña Likely to Linger (www.kiplinger.com)
The National Weather Service is reporting continued continued strengthening of the La Nina water current which could result in drought in Brazil this crop year and continued drought in the SE and SW of the US. Any reduction in yields in the Americas this year on wheat, soybeans and corn could result...
Analysis of:
Quarterly Oilseeds Outlook: Economist Intelligence Unit (www.soyatech.com)
Soybean prices have continued to climb as soybean oil prices set new record high prices. Soybean oil futures over the past six months have had over a .96 correlation to price movements of crude oil futures. Continued growth in demand for vegetable oils for food and biodiesel and vegetable proteins for...
November 7, 2007
ADM results are stellar thanks to wheat trading even in light of poor ethanol margins
Analysis of:
ADM first quarter earnings climb 9% (www.bakingbusiness.com)
ADM results are stellar thanks to wheat trading even in light of poor ethanol margins
ADM surprised the market that had begun to focus on the company as a corn to ethanol company, but the company still is heavily focused on grain processing and grain trading. Big jumps in grain prices and logistical costs provided ADM with opportunities to increase margins in other non-ethanol markets....
Analysis of:
Global Backlash on Biofuels Could Overshadow Future Potential, Says Worldwatch Institute (soyatech.com)
The biofuels sector continues to be the focus of negative stories in the US and Global press, highlighting many of the downsides of the push towards ethanol and biodiesel. These stories, by themselves, might not create significant problems for the industry, but in combination with the twin economic...
October 7, 2007
Find a way to spend more, rather than complaining about higher prices for commodities.
Analysis of:
As Prices Soar, U.S. Food Aid Buys Less (www.nytimes.com)
Find a way to spend more, rather than complaining about higher prices for commodities.
Ethanol and corn has been booming not because the US government called for it, but rather because there were opportunities for profits, largely due to oil prices. Subsidies for biofuels in the US should have a hard end-date. Dollars spent on food aid should increase, rather than expecting world commodity...
Analysis of:
Government allows import of GM seed edible oil (www.business-standard.com)
GMO products will likely ride the biofuel train into other formerly closed markets, as global supplies of corn and beans shrink due to biofuel consumption, and non-GMO alternatives disappear.
Analysis of:
ADM shrugs off low ethanol prices, but keeps options open (news.medill.northwestern.edu)
Ethanol margins are hurting, given high corn prices and low ethanol prices. Large plants still have positive margins, but they are greatly reduced. Part of ADM 's ethanol comes from plants it originally switched from high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) and starch production.
Analysis of:
Government allows import of GM seed edible oil (www.business-standard.com)
More countries are producing growing quantities of genetically modified (GMO) soybeans and corn. As prices of foods climbs, countries around the world are being forced to recognize that these crops are safe and cheaper. Will the EU join the crowd?
October 4, 2007
Slowdowns and consolidations ahead for ethanol, but pain today will create more profits tomorrow.
Analysis of:
Ethanol Boom Is Running Out of Gas (online.wsj.com)
Slowdowns and consolidations ahead for ethanol, but pain today will create more profits tomorrow.
Ethanol is headed for a slowdown and consolidations, but will emerge stronger and more efficient. Cash corn near $3.05 and ethanol near $1.58 per gallon leaves a profit margin of only a few cents per bushel. Corn prices will fall as ethanol plants slow consumption, but weather...
Analysis of:
Biodiesel boom heads to Wall Street (money.cnn.com)
With current prices for soybeans, biodiesel's primary feedstock, its economic viability is questionable. With soybean oil selling for near $0.40 per pound, costs to produce soy-based biodiesel are running $3.20-$3.30 per gallon, at or slightly above current prices for diesel of $3.00-$3.10. The Federal...
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