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August 21, 2007Has the Subprime Meltdown Created a New Credit Crunch Paradigm?
Analysis of: Like a House of Cards: In a Twist Folks Paying Other Bills, But Skip Mortgage | www.nypost.com
Author: Bill Bradway, Founder & Managing Director, Bradway Research, LLC
The latest data on mortgage and credit card delinquencies seems to run counter to conventional wisdom - that borrowers will keep paying the mortgage and default on unsecured debt, especially credit cards. Why would the subprime meltdown and rapidly rising foreclosures have no effect on credit...
August 20, 2007Wal-Mart Will Hedge Its Bet on Banking
Analysis of: WAL-MART: TO BOLDLY GO WHERE NO BANK HAS GONE BEFORE... | tendencias.infoamericas.com
Author: Bill Bradway, Founder & Managing Director, Bradway Research, LLC
The suggestion that Wal-Mart will boldly go where no bank has gone before raises several questions. How can Wal-Mart undercut competitor pricing in order to expand into banking? Is Wal-Mart willing to lose money from a banking strategy to gain market share? Does the unbanked and underbanked marketplace...
August 8, 2007Mortgage REITs Going Once, Going Twice, ....Gone?
Analysis of: Mortgage REITs Feel Squeeze | online.wsj.com
Author: Bill Bradway, Founder & Managing Director, Bradway Research, LLC
Mortgage REITs, a dividend paying equity vehicle that expanded with the mortgage industry in the past 10 years, have been facing a severe liquidity crises. The fallout that began with the subprime crises is spilling over to other types of mortgages, particularly the Alt-A mortgage. A virus-like illness...
August 6, 2007The price of an acquisition is only part of the algorithm. Value is more important.
Analysis of: Fiserv Buys CheckFree for $4.4 Billion | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Art Gillis, President, Computer Based Solutions, Inc.
- The price of an acquisition is only part of the algorithm. Value is more important. - The bargains have all but disappeared, and it is now a seller’s market. One pays the going price to keep the growth momentum going - Fiserv is a long term player with a value-add factor applied to every...
August 2, 2007Fiserv Opens Its Wallet and Grabs CheckFree
Analysis of: Fiserv Buys CheckFree for $4.4 Billion | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Bill Bradway, Founder & Managing Director, Bradway Research, LLC
Fiserv is buying CheckFree in an all-cash deal. At$4.4 billion, the $48/share price is about 30% over CKFR's recent stock price. However, a year ago CKFR had just hit an all-time high of $56/share. Fiserv describes this deal as transformative - what does that mean? And, did CKFR get a good price?
July 31, 2007Large bank core conversions in the U.S. - Lottsa talk, little action
Analysis of: Fidelity National 2nd-qtr profit falls | www.reuters.com
Author: Art Gillis, President, Computer Based Solutions, Inc.
Large bank core conversions in the U.S. - Lottsa talk, little action • Even though large banks realize their legacy systems are old and tired, they don’t have options that are risk-free. • The bank tech vendors with advanced architecture are big internationally (i-flex solutions, Infosys...
July 23, 2007M & I 2Q07 Earnings: Walking Sideways
Analysis of: Marshall & Ilsley's 2Q Profit Climbs | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Bill Bradway, Founder & Managing Director, Bradway Research, LLC
Marshall & Ilsley Corporation (MI)M & I's earnings for 2Q07 were up by 5.5%. A closer look at the details indicates that a one-time gain on sale of MasterCard stock accounted for the increase. Net interest margin compression and a deteriorating real estate loan portfolio suggest that future...
July 12, 2007Sallie Mae Hopes the M&A Music Doesn't Stop Now
Analysis of: Cuts Threaten Sallie Mae Deal | online.wsj.com
Author: Bill Bradway, Founder & Managing Director, Bradway Research, LLC
The buyers, headed by private equity firms J. C. Flowers & Co. and Friedman, Fleischer & Lowe LLC along with Bank of America and JP Morgan Chase, are claiming that new Congressional legislation adversely changes the deal and they are prepared to back out. Sallie Mae (SLM) strongly disagrees...
July 3, 2007Subprime Pains Leads to New Rules and Lower Volume
Analysis of: Regulators Tighten Subprime-Lending Rules | online.wsj.com
Author: Bill Bradway, Founder & Managing Director, Bradway Research, LLC
Federal regulators issued new requirements to curtail weak underwriting standards for the subprime mortgage market. The new guidelines require all banks, thrifts, and credit unions regulated by a federal agency to use the adjusted mortgage loan rate instead of the initial teaser rate to qualify all...
June 28, 2007Not So Fast on the Job's Revenge....
Analysis of: iPhone: Jobs's Revenge | www.businessweek.com
Author: Jon Biskner, AVP of Information Technology, NICOLET NATIONAL BANK
I would say the author has made a huge leap of faith believing others will not respond to the most recent release of the iPhone. I definitely subscribe to the argument set forth with regards to the Ipod, but this was in relatively new space not an existing market. The market for smart phones has...
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