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November 24, 2008Order Cancelations Will Not Approach Half of The Order Book
Analysis of: Half of dry bulk orders will ‘not be delivered’ | www.lloydslist.com
Author: Craig Marston, Managing Director, CEM Marine
Navios' prediction that up to half of the dry bulk orderbook through 2010 will be canceled won't happen.
November 24, 2008Over optimism on a quick reversal of the dry bulk market downturn
Analysis of: Half of dry bulk orders will ‘not be delivered’ | www.lloydslist.com
Author: Diran Majarian, Managing Director, Amalia Tankers Inc
Whilst it is true that there are numerous cancellations in the pipeline, the impact depends on the size range of the tonnage. In the end, however, the markets will not return to health until greater demand for cargo carried.
November 24, 2008TOP Ships revisited after its 4th Quarter Earnings Conference
Analysis of: Top takeover axed | www.tradewinds.no
Author: Diran Majarian, Managing Director, Amalia Tankers Inc
TOP Ships has done some very timely restructuring over the past few months, selling vessels restructuring debt and terminating lease obligations. They have improved liquidity and contained leverage. They have increased secured employment cover. Given that TOPS was in technical...
November 13, 2008Current Capesize Fleet Not Yet Oversupplied
Analysis of: Australian miners cut iron ouput as China slows | www.theaustralian.news.com.au
Author: Craig Marston, Managing Director, CEM Marine
Iron ore and steel production cut backs, whether short-term or longer, do not support the current abysmal dry bulk shipping rates.
November 13, 2008US Shipping Partners Outlook Poor
Analysis of: ITB writedown? | www.tradewinds.no
Author: Craig Marston, Managing Director, CEM Marine
Tradewinds reported on USS' SEC filing on a likely write-down of their fleet values, continuing the problems facing the Jones Act tanker company.
November 12, 2008Smart Move Or Not, $50M A Lot For Genco To Eat
Analysis of: Genco Shipping shares fall as it cancels 6 orders | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Craig Marston, Managing Director, CEM Marine
Hailed as a "no brainer" by analysts, Genco's forfeiture of over $50M in deposits to cancel the purchase of 6 new ships is nevertheless a bad indicator of how the company will fare going forward.
November 11, 2008Will Eagle cut dividends?
Analysis of: Eagle on edge? | www.tradewinds.no
Author: Diran Majarian, Managing Director, Amalia Tankers Inc
Eagle has an ambitious newbuilding program ahead in a weakening freight markets and tight credit conditions. It has maintained a generous dividend policy, which is conditional to meeting its debt covenants. It should look to strengthen its balance sheet in current market conditions and the brewing world-wide...
November 10, 2008EGL Should Be Fine
Analysis of: Eagle on edge? | www.tradewinds.no
Author: Craig Marston, Managing Director, CEM Marine
Tradewinds quoted Fearnley Fonds as suggesting that EGL is already in breach of its debt covenants due to falling asset values and that dividend cuts will be necessary. While dividend cuts are inevitable, true asset values are higher than suggested.
November 3, 2008Britannia in senior debt loan default negotiations.
Analysis of: Britannia Bulk Holdings Inc. Provides Operational and Financial Update | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Diran Majarian, Managing Director, Amalia Tankers Inc
Nordea and Lloyds TSB, which agreed the $170m deal in May on five bulkers, appear to have alleged that “certain events of default” have taken place, including its financial condition changing for the worse. They are said to have provided cash for daily operations and requested vessels to...
October 29, 2008Britannia Bulk: Perils of leverage, COA's and chartered in vessels
Analysis of: Britannia Bulk Holdings Inc. Provides Operational and Financial Update | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Diran Majarian, Managing Director, Amalia Tankers Inc
Britannia was one of a very few shipping IPO's this year. It had a rocky start from inception. The initial issue did not go well and it has been a downwards trajectory every since.
Presently it is caught in a potential liquidity bind with falling fleet utilization, falling charter rates...
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