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GLG News by Chemical Industry Experts in GLG Member Programs (EU)

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November 27, 2008
The intellectual issues at the centre of the international banking bailout
Analysis of: BASF Cuts Profit Goal, to Idle Plants as Orders Drop | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The banks will now only lend to some of their customers and at a hefty premium.  They will only lend to each other at a premium over Fed or Bank of England lending rates.  Meanwhile the politicians require the government-supported banks to resume normal lending while paying...
Paul HodgesNovember 17, 2008
Dow Chemical warns of need for “radical actions”
Analysis of: Dow Chemical to Take `Radical Actions' to Reach Profit Goal | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Paul Hodges, Chairman, International eChem
Dow's CEO says their prices have fallen 40% since September on major products. They are seeing unprecendented "global contagion" as demand falls in all major regions. Plant closures by Dow and others are inevitable, as the industry adapts to a new, lower-growth environment
Paul HodgesNovember 3, 2008
Oil firms at a crossroads
Analysis of: Energy firms told to invest to avoid another price spike | www.iht.com
Author: Paul Hodges, Chairman, International eChem
The International Energy Agency says a minimum of 5.5 mbd new production is required each year, just to maintain current production levels. They have issued a new draft report, which says depletion rates are much higher than previosuly believed. But the credit crunch, and ongoing oil price volatility,...
Paul HodgesOctober 10, 2008
Auto markets face ‘outright collapse’ in 2009
Analysis of: U.S. New-Vehicle Retail Sales in 2008 Forecasted to Decrease by 2 Million Units Below 2007 Levels; Total Light Vehicle Forecast Revised Down to 13.6 Million Units for 2008, 13.2 Million Units for 2009 | www.jdpower.com
Author: Paul Hodges, Chairman, International eChem
The outlook for auto sales is getting worse This will have a major imapct on chemcial sales
September 17, 2008
Size Matters in the global chemicals market
Analysis of: BASF makes offer to acquire Ciba | www.corporate.basf.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Mergers and aquisitions in the global chemicals market continue to increase in size and scope. Will the BASF bid for CIBA take this to a new level of 'Mega' companies that dominate the market? Steve Burgess from UK based Rowant Consultancy rsies issues that many are thinking about in these turbulent...
Paul HodgesSeptember 8, 2008
A $5 Trillion Bailout
Analysis of: Mortgage Giant Overstated the Size of Its Capital Base | www.nytimes.com
Author: Paul Hodges, Chairman, International eChem
The US government has finally decided to nationalise the two home loan giants.  Between them, Fannie and Freddie guarantee 47% of all US mortgages, worth around $5 trillion - equivalent to the combined GDP of the UK and France.  High leverage makes earnings and management look wonderful...
August 5, 2008
Will Dow be forced to divest parts of Rohm & Haas to satisfy regulators?
Analysis of: Dow buys Rohm and Haas for $19 billion | www.risiinfo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Is the proposed $19 Billion purchase of R&H by Dow is starting to raise questions in the minds of some regulators? Could this lead to the forced divestiture of certain business activities and assets? If this happens would it breach Dow's limit on divestiture level stated in the bid documents?
July 17, 2008
Airbus cultural differences
Analysis of: Airbus is hampered by cultural differences | www.ft.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The example is typically synonymous for a post-merger change process and one of the most common pitfalls. However, cultural incompatibility is a catch phase and to generetic. The issue demonstrates that  more variables are effecting the problem starting with: communication, leadership, psychological...
Paul HodgesJuly 15, 2008
Dow Chemical's $40bn bet on a new type of chemical industry
Analysis of: Buffett helps Dow pay $19bn for Rohm & Haas | www.ft.com
Author: Paul Hodges, Chairman, International eChem
First, Dow moved its upstream chemical businesses into a JV with the Kuwaitis, to protect itself against increasing feedstock prices.  Now it is acquiring Rohm & Haas to position itself as a downstream 'solution provider'.  Some may see this as a high-risk strategy.  But the real...
Paul HodgesJuly 3, 2008
A wind of change is sweeping through chemical businesses
Analysis of: Private equity pays dear for investment in chemicals | www.ft.com
Author: Paul Hodges, Chairman, International eChem
Private equity has been very active in chemicals M&A, accounting for 50% of all deals in 2006.  Now the chemicals downturn has finally arrived.  Ineos Group, the UK’s biggest private company and one of the world’s biggest chemical producers, has been listed as one of the six most vulnerable...

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