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GLG News by Asset Backed Securities Experts

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March 7, 2008
Prometheus, please bring the credit unions fire!
Analysis of: Why Credit Unions Just Don't Get It. | credituniontimes.com
Author: James Butler, President, Rigley Financial Corporation
Considering the current fall-out in Commercial Lending with the big banks (most of which were deservingly so), such as Wachovia, Chase, and Bank of America, the Credit Union field has such great opportunities to grow their market-share if they just decided to move into the 19th Century, instead of living...
March 5, 2008
Message to the US government: Do not intervene as financial excesses unwind
Analysis of: Bernanke Call for Mortgage Forgiveness Puts Pressure on Paulson | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
If the agents of the US government, Bernanke from the Fed and Paulson from the Treasury, intervene in the functioning of the capital markets as financial excesses unwind, they might create more problems, such as unwittingly making mortage credit more expensive as investors shun them if interest...
March 5, 2008
Message to the US government: Do not intervene as financial excesses unwind
Analysis of: Bernanke Call for Mortgage Forgiveness Puts Pressure on Paulson | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
By modifying terms of financial contracts, such as turning negative equity mortgage contracts into positive ones by forgiving mortgage principal owed, or changing interest rate terms on them, the US government (Fed and Treasury) will unwittingly make mortgage credit even more expensive as mortage investors shun...
March 3, 2008
Driving with the rear-view mirror - Recession Fears Realized
Analysis of: Analysts give CIOs advice on weathering recession | www.infoworldmagazine.com
Author: James Butler, President, Rigley Financial Corporation
The Economist recently described specific events that would lead one to believe that the U.S. Economy is already in the throws of a recession, yet the nay-sayers (including our illustrious President) state that there is still some signs of life negating this apparent event. I feel that like the 90's,...
March 3, 2008
Remember the old Wall Street adage: "When they raid the whorehouse, they take all the girls"
Analysis of: Here come more financiers' writedowns | money.cnn.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Simply, writedowns do not overstate the extent of problems at financial firms.  Yes, ultimately the coming "correction" will be overdone (given human nature, most are), but we just getting started (that is, expect a long, sharp recession) -- so things are going to get much ...
February 21, 2008
Germany confronts the worst financial crisis since 1931
Analysis of: German State-Owned Banks on Verge of Collapse | www.spiegel.de
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Six months ago, BaFin President Jochen Sanio warned that the "worst financial crisis since 1931" was unfolding.  Simply, I concur.
February 20, 2008
The untold story of non-rated CDO bonds in bank closets
Analysis of: Credit Suisse Strips $1B From 1q Profits | biz.yahoo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Like clockwork, you should expect to see these CDO induced writedowns to occur going forward for investment banks. One of the key reasons is the untold story in all these news: the rapid devaluation of non-rated CDO bonds (NR tranches) held at all these financial institutions that indulged in CDO making...
February 20, 2008
Expect more bad news from Credit Suisse
Analysis of: Credit Suisse Strips $1B From 1q Profits | biz.yahoo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
More bad news could pave the way for further buy-ins by foreign investors, such as the Qatar Investment Authority.  "The final determination of these reductions will depend on further results of our review and continuing market developments," the bank said.  Read: Expect more bad news. ...
February 15, 2008
Expect at least four very bad quarters for Morgan
Analysis of: Morgan Stanley: The Riskiest Bank on the Street | seekingalpha.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Morgan's stock will continue to decline.
February 11, 2008
A negative outlook on the subprime market may be fine, but you need to pick the optimal vehicle to short this market with.
Analysis of: Bear Stearns Makes $1 Billion Bet on Subprime Market Decline | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
I agree with the bet being made in the short direction on the credit crunch, although it seems that there is not much downside left with the usual target (the ABX HE index) that even Deutsche Bank used to make its profits recently. The credit crunch is not uniform. Some short vehicles...

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