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September 17, 2007Picking at the carcass
Analysis of: Alitalia prompts scramble at Heathrow | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Addison Schonland, Partner, Innovation Analysis Group
• Alitalia's management are selling off the firm's best assets • As a going concern, the airline has failed • Nothing on the horizon indicates the company can be saved
September 7, 2007This delay means no more wiggle room
Analysis of: 787 flight delay blamed on unfinished structures, software | seattletimes.nwsource.com
Author: Addison Schonland, Partner, Innovation Analysis Group
• Boeing had its conference call today explaining delays in the 787 program • While Boeing officials managed to assuage Wall Street, there are big questions ahead
September 4, 2007Might VLJs have a more limited future?
Analysis of: Glassed-In | www.aviationtoday.com
Author: Addison Schonland, Partner, Innovation Analysis Group
• VLJs have a questionable future
• Garmin is not sensitive to VLJs
• Garmin should do well regardless because of rising popularity of personal aircraft
August 15, 2007Chaos is spelled SPEAA
Analysis of: Boeing engineers union looks for a new director | www.heraldnet.com
Author: Addison Schonland, Partner, Innovation Analysis Group
• Boeing's engineering union is called SPEAA • It has 20,000 members in the Puget Sound area • That represents 28% of Boeing's regional employees • The union is split and things don't look like getting better in time for next year's negotiations
August 15, 2007Michael O'Leary gets new friends
Analysis of: Aer Lingus pilots' strike | business.guardian.co.uk
Author: Addison Schonland, Partner, Innovation Analysis Group
• Ryanair's CEO, Michael O'Leary is the nemisis of Aer Lingus and the Irish government • O'Leary managed to buy up 25% of Aer Lingus, much to chagrin of the Irish government and Aer Lingus' management • Now the man they love to hate is back at the center of their world and highly...
August 9, 2007US sub-prime mortgages and aviation
Analysis of: Euroshares fall in morning trading | www.forbes.com
Author: Addison Schonland, Partner, Innovation Analysis Group
• The US economy is driven by consumer sentiment
• There are good reasons to think this sentiment may be in for rapid change
• The implications for discretionary spending on travel are significant
August 6, 2007EADS makes a very clever bet
Analysis of: Airbus rolls out first A330 for USAF KC-X programme | www.flightglobal.com
Author: Addison Schonland, Partner, Innovation Analysis Group
• The current thinking among many pundits is that Airbus and its parent EADS are in touble so deep they cannot fight their way out
• Just as the talk about Boeing's demise a few years ago was overstated, so it is with EADS/Airbus
• Building a flying model of the KC-30 is...
July 27, 2007The end is nigh for Alitalia - be thankful
Analysis of: Alitalia Shares Rise as Government Agrees to Ease Sale Rules | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Addison Schonland, Partner, Innovation Analysis Group
• Italy is a large airtravel market • Its growth has been hamepered by the Italian government's desire to protect Alitalia, the national airline • This airline has been a mess for decades and it appears it is now near its desirable end • Italians should cheer
July 27, 2007A test case for Germany pits consumer interests against EC airlines
Analysis of: Emirates may be capped to protect Lufthansa | www.breakingtravelnews.com
Author: Addison Schonland, Partner, Innovation Analysis Group
• Germany can only offer Lufthansa some help • Brussels is where Lufthansa can get more protection under the EC umbrella along with other EC airlines • But this will be short lived as EC consumers like the idea of LCCs and low cost travel • EC airlines need to offer higher...
July 26, 2007A pulse of how they seem to be doing
Analysis of: EADS Beats Q2 Forecasts, Takes A350 Charge | news.airwise.com
Author: Addison Schonland, Partner, Innovation Analysis Group
• EADS' results were not as bad as were expected but they are not that good either • Boeing's results were very good, but the 787 is not flying yet
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