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November 26, 2007Higher Farmland Prices Help Balance Sheets, Loans and Estates, but Hurts Profits
Analysis of: U.S. Cropland Prices Shackle Some Farmers | soyatech.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
The biofuels boom is driving up prices for farmland across the US. Typical prices for top farmland selling with no development potential, are now around $6,000 per acre or more in Central IL. The higher prices are good for current owners, but bad for anyone renting land, which covers the...
November 26, 2007New biofuel feedstocks will be driven by effeciency and economics.
Analysis of: Seeding the way to better biofuels | seattletimes.nwsource.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
The adoption of new crops for biofeedstocks will be driven by how efficient the crops are (gallons per acre), and in how they fare economically (net returns per acre). Crops like camelina may be able to gain a foothold in regions where corn and soy are less viable, like the US west and northwest. ...
November 26, 2007Good times aren't over yet for Deere
Analysis of: Deere Fourth-Quarter Net Rises 52% on Overseas Demand | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
The secondary effects of the world-wide ethanol boom are starting to show up in increases in prices, and in earnings, of which Deere is an excellent example. Expansion of sugarcane in Brazil is driving sales of Deere machines there, but the effects of the big US corn crop and record high commodity...
November 20, 2007La Nina Threatens to Hurt Global 2008 Wheat, Corn and Soybean Crops
Analysis of: La Niña Likely to Linger | www.kiplinger.com
Author: Gary Drimmer, President, Drimmer & Associates International
The National Weather Service is reporting continued continued strengthening of the La Nina water current which could result in drought in Brazil this crop year and continued drought in the SE and SW of the US. Any reduction in yields in the Americas this year on wheat, soybeans and corn could result...
November 14, 2007Demand for Soybeans and other Oilseeds Increasing due to Biodiesel and China
Analysis of: Quarterly Oilseeds Outlook: Economist Intelligence Unit | www.soyatech.com
Author: Gary Drimmer, President, Drimmer & Associates International
Soybean prices have continued to climb as soybean oil prices set new record high prices. Soybean oil futures over the past six months have had over a .96 correlation to price movements of crude oil futures. Continued growth in demand for vegetable oils for food and biodiesel and vegetable proteins for...
November 7, 2007ADM results are stellar thanks to wheat trading even in light of poor ethanol margins
Analysis of: ADM first quarter earnings climb 9% | www.bakingbusiness.com
Author: Gary Drimmer, President, Drimmer & Associates International
ADM surprised the market that had begun to focus on the company as a corn to ethanol company, but the company still is heavily focused on grain processing and grain trading. Big jumps in grain prices and logistical costs provided ADM with opportunities to increase margins in other non-ethanol markets....
October 31, 2007Negative Image + Falling Returns = Problems For Biofuels
Analysis of: Global Backlash on Biofuels Could Overshadow Future Potential, Says Worldwatch Institute | soyatech.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
The biofuels sector continues to be the focus of negative stories in the US and Global press, highlighting many of the downsides of the push towards ethanol and biodiesel. These stories, by themselves, might not create significant problems for the industry, but in combination with the twin economic...
October 7, 2007Find a way to spend more, rather than complaining about higher prices for commodities.
Analysis of: As Prices Soar, U.S. Food Aid Buys Less | www.nytimes.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
Ethanol and corn has been booming not because the US government called for it, but rather because there were opportunities for profits, largely due to oil prices. Subsidies for biofuels in the US should have a hard end-date. Dollars spent on food aid should increase, rather than expecting world commodity...
October 7, 2007GMO's riding the biofuel train too.
Analysis of: Government allows import of GM seed edible oil | www.business-standard.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
GMO products will likely ride the biofuel train into other formerly closed markets, as global supplies of corn and beans shrink due to biofuel consumption, and non-GMO alternatives disappear.
October 7, 2007ADM Could Switch Some Ethanol Capacity to High Fructose Corn Syrup
Analysis of: ADM shrugs off low ethanol prices, but keeps options open | news.medill.northwestern.edu
Author: Gary Drimmer, President, Drimmer & Associates International
Ethanol margins are hurting, given high corn prices and low ethanol prices. Large plants still have positive margins, but they are greatly reduced. Part of ADM 's ethanol comes from plants it originally switched from high fructose corn syrup (HFCS) and starch production.
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