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March 18, 2008Urgent: Wheat Rust Could Threaten World Supply and Stability
Analysis of: Kenya: Spread of Wheat Disease Sparks Shortage Fears | allafrica.com
Author: Gary Drimmer, President, Drimmer & Associates International
Ug99 a wheat rust first found in Uganda in 1999 has been on the move. It first began spreading to neighboring countries in 2001, It is now as far away as the Middle East, with the likelihood that it will move east into some major wheat growing regions of Asia. With global wheat supplies already at 40+...
March 3, 2008USDA is being optimistic at best for 2008 planting expectations
Analysis of: ACREAGE AND YIELD TO THE RESCUE? | www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
The USDA's most recent projections on planted area for corn, soy and wheat in the US for 2008 appear to be optimistic at best.
March 3, 2008Growth of non-traditional participants in ag commodities poses risks
Analysis of: Commodity Prices Surge, As Investors Seek a Haven | online.wsj.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
The ag commodity markets are trading on emotion, and to some extent, fear, without and regard for supply and demand, and the continued economic viability of that demand. The old market saying is that high prices are the best cure for high prices, but the "cure" may be a bitter pill to swallow
March 3, 2008Seed refuge is easy to solve with convential methods,
Analysis of: DuPont Introduces New Insect Protection System to U.S. Farmers | www.soyatech.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
DuPont's new "in-the-bag" refuge system will probably steal some market share from Monsanto trait seed, until Monsanto introduces the same, but likely gains will be small due to the ability of producers to satisfy the refuge requirements with simple in-the-row methods.
March 3, 2008What goes up, must come down
Analysis of: Deere rep says ag industry mostly insulated from economic downturn | www.brownfieldnetwork.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
The US ag sector is showing strong signs of being overheated, and is likely to see a correction soon. The question is, how far and fast will it fall.
January 17, 2008La Nina Still a Threat to Crops in Argentina, Brazil and the US
Analysis of: La Nina Still Going in January 2008 | earthobservatory.nasa.gov
Author: Gary Drimmer, President, Drimmer & Associates International
The La Nina phenomenon, which could prolong the drought in the SW and SE of the US should be peaking this month, but there is the risk, that it could persist into the spring, or even for years. NASA's satellites, using microwave scanners show that the current La Nina continued to gain strength in November...
January 16, 2008GM Throws Support For Cellulosic Ethanol With Start-Up Coskata Inc.
Analysis of: GM eyes breakthrough in cellulosic ethanol | www.reuters.com
Author: Gary Drimmer, President, Drimmer & Associates International
GM announces a commitment for cellulosic ethanol shortly after Daimler along with ADM and Bayer CropSciences announced last week an alliance to develop jatropha. This comes at a time when the EU and the US has begun to again question the use food crops for fuel, as well as the environmental net benefit...
January 10, 2008Large Companies Pick Up Jatropha Banner:
Analysis of: ADM, Bayer CropScience and Daimler team up to turn Jatropha into major biofuel crop | biopact.com
Author: Gary Drimmer, President, Drimmer & Associates International
Jatropha is gaining momentum with three major players announcing an an alliance which should improve the economics of Jatropha production on a global basis. Jatropha has the potential of being grown on 30 million hectares (over 70 million acres).
January 7, 2008Monsanto is Bringing Biotechnology Magic to a Corn and Soybean Farmer Near You
Analysis of: Monsanto Sees Most Robust R&D Pipeline in Company History | www.foxbusiness.com
Author: Gary Drimmer, President, Drimmer & Associates International
Monsanto's 1st quarter results jumped a surprising 188% beating most analyst projections. In their conference call they also reported on the results of their 2007 field work and research work. It continues to surpass what could have been anticipated even three years ago, as technology continues to allow...
December 31, 2007Agricultural fertilizer will remain in a demand-driven up-swing for the short-term
Analysis of: Potash Corporation: The Best Value in Agriculture Stocks Today | seekingalpha.com
Author: Philip Corzine, Founder & Managing Consultant, AgPage International Consulting, LLC
Demand from the biofuels industry, not feed-based demand, is driving the rally in the commodities markets. Soybean prices have been high before, but high prices will eventually "fix" the supply shortage concerns. The weak US Dollar vs. the Brazilian Real is also one reason behind the high...
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