Bank Debt Risk Rises as Writedowns, Losses Exceed $500 Billion

Let me be brief.  This is a synthetic market that allows participants to express their sentiments (wager) without participating in the cash market.  Beware reading too much into the levels at which items trade in any synthetic market.

The global slowdown and rising inflation will limit banks from escaping the credit meltdown anytime soon.  Deleveraging will continue for years and revenue lost from discontinued businesses has yet to be identified.

Implications: 1.High Risk And High-Yield credit ratings have risen by 9 basis points - an all time high. 2.Bank losses are restricting lending, the Financial Market Place of Companies , as well as, consumers.The End Result is the tightening of al lending Standards - Inevitable! 3.Credit Swaps have risen 1.25 basis points and "More to Come"! 4.Sub-prime debts have become "Toxic"!- The Market is falling...

Since January 2007 the world’s biggest commercial and investment banks have written down $497bn of bad debt. The optimists suggest the worse is now behind us. Perhaps, but the bounce will be limited from here. Hope springs from the belief that banks have written down what there is to be written down, the authorities are bending over backwards to help and buyers of credit are emerging. Markets are...

Implications: 1.Bank losses are a severe restriction on lending practices of Financial Institutions. 2.Severe Financial and Economic damage to corporations and the individual consumer as delinquencies on home and commercial loans rise. 3.Many U.S banking institutions , now have, a substantial deteriortion of their capitalization base and related " Market Value"! 4.The rise in Debt Speculation indicates...

Write downs are not actual losses and a mark-to-market loss is not a cash loss. Widening spreads in the credit default market, although real, must be recognized for what they are; namely, market monetization of perceived risks compared to recent backwards looking asset and cash flow valuations. Recovery in the general credit market should produce non-cash reported earnings increases starting in 2009...