June 2, 2008
Totally Agree
Analysis of:
Buyout of Penn National May Involve Revised Terms | www.nytimes.com
This analysis is solely the work of the author. It has not been edited or endorsed by GLG.
Implications: I think Nelson is right on target
Analysis: In brief, two items occurred which will make the completion of the Penn deal a reality. Number one is the Trump Marina deal which reflects a very high multiple and even a reasonable multiple if you take the Marina's 2007 EBITDA (40 milliom/ about an 8 multiple), this reflects well on the industry. In addition, PENN is a quality gaming operator with quality management overseeing those operations. I have always thought the deal would happen, the question remains, what price. A renegotiated price in the high 50's might seem reasonable to all parties and then Penn can concentrate on moving into Atlantic City, one way or the other.
Analysis: In brief, two items occurred which will make the completion of the Penn deal a reality. Number one is the Trump Marina deal which reflects a very high multiple and even a reasonable multiple if you take the Marina's 2007 EBITDA (40 milliom/ about an 8 multiple), this reflects well on the industry. In addition, PENN is a quality gaming operator with quality management overseeing those operations. I have always thought the deal would happen, the question remains, what price. A renegotiated price in the high 50's might seem reasonable to all parties and then Penn can concentrate on moving into Atlantic City, one way or the other.
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