July 23, 2007
The real estate market is a market!
Analysis of:
Home Sales Continue Decline | www.bendbulletin.com
This analysis is solely the work of the author. It has not been edited or endorsed by GLG.
Implications: 1) Absolutely, the real estate market is a market. 2)Just like any other market... Supply and demand still at work.
Analysis:
Analysis:
Absolutely, the real estate market is a market. Supply and demand still at work - with overall employment - physiological factors - interest rate factors (anyone remember 17% APR during Mr Carters admin?) are all at play.
Stock / Bond / Commoditites are all traded within a priced market. If you can't predict the future, then manage it. We are looking at a downward turn - how far? - how low? hmmm... I don't know, but I do know that a lower cost basis will be the success we measure for the future capital gains of real estate sales. We watch markets... markets tell us the direction... we are nervous and sell when we perceive a top.. we are nervous and buy when we perceive value and future appreciation. We have seen the top, but not the bottom.
Stock / Bond / Commoditites are all traded within a priced market. If you can't predict the future, then manage it. We are looking at a downward turn - how far? - how low? hmmm... I don't know, but I do know that a lower cost basis will be the success we measure for the future capital gains of real estate sales. We watch markets... markets tell us the direction... we are nervous and sell when we perceive a top.. we are nervous and buy when we perceive value and future appreciation. We have seen the top, but not the bottom.
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