September 5, 2007
The "Free Rider " Syndrome
Analysis:
Sad to say, the cost of moving gas out of Colorado or Wyoming can result in a negative basis of $2-3.00/mcf as newly discovered coal bed methane and shale gas competes for access to limited transportation infrastructure. Perhaps the most extreme example is the case of stranded gas in Alaska which has very low values, on the order of $2 to 3 dollars/mcf becuase of the absence of pipelines to move the gas to more populated areas. Unfortunately the two pipelines proposed will cost a total of $45 billion. There the question as always is who pays?
In the Wyoming gas case, corporations are actually spending in excess of $4 billion to build the Rockies Express pipeline which will move gas from West to East, terminating at the Ohio/Pennsylvania line. They are able to do this because there are willing long term buyers of the transportation capacity in the eastern half of the US. Similar export lines are being constructed, again with private financing, to move gas to the west coast markets.
While I sympathize with the issue of stranded power resources and the potential they represent, perhaps the real issue with stranded wind power is more a lack of committed customers than it is a lack of transmission infrastructure. Arguing that "the public good" requires capex and opex costs associated with new transmission to be included in the general rate structure (or tax base) seems a bit premature until market based solutions have been exhausted.
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