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September 17, 2008

Linking Human Activity With Arctic Sea Ice Shrinkage: How Much More Wool Do We Have To Pull Over Our Eyes?

Analysis of: Arctic Sea Ice Shrinks To 2nd-Lowest On Record | www.usatoday.com
This analysis is solely the work of the author. It has not been edited or endorsed by GLG.
Analysis By:
Simon Atkins, MBA, CEO, Global Disaster Risk SpecialistSimon Atkins, MBA
CEO, Global Disaster Risk Specialist, Advanced Forecasting Corporation
Implications: Human beings boast about having kept sea ice records for just 30 years.  Then we have the audacity to say there is an “alarming trend” of arctic sea ice shrinkage.  The most frightening aspect is that this ‘theory’ that human activity is causing the majority of sea ice shrinkage is going to have a heck of a negative impact on business especially in the energy, insurance, environmental, and financial sectors over the next five years.

Analysis: What is truly alarming is we are producing a ton of pseudo-science linking human activity to climate change, and we are wrongly assuming that sea ice does not have its own melt-freeze cycles, decades in length due to much larger & more important parameters such as solar and geothermal activity.

It’s great to be all for the restriction of the worst type of pollution, but let’s first get the facts straight that carbon dioxide is not a pollutant.  Moreover, let’s shake the gold coins rolling in our eyes and realize that if we start radical new schemes like new laws and tougher industrial standards based on the ‘proof’ that human-induced climate change is rapidly melting arctic ice, and continue this increasingly savage witch-hunt that calls people liars who show evidence against human-caused climate change, then we will set ourselves on a path that could seriously jeopardize our economy further than necessary just so we can justify illogical cause and effect schemes of poorly-educated scientific conclusions.  But if we continue the track we’re on, we are going to put a big strain on our economy, especially if our new president starts a similar brown-pants theme of carbon trading that is dubbed as so successful in other parts of the world.


Of course, facts like arctic sea ice this past winter was on average six feet thicker than the mean of that 30-year record was dubbed as an anomaly not worth exploring, and in fact, since it did not fit-in to the theme of Global Warming many people were not even made aware of this fact.  There is very rarely ever talk about the minute changes in the sun’s energy output, which has been ever-so-critical to global climate cycles over the thousands of years (and proved in ice core analysis that there has been much warmer times in the past compared to now, and I don’t remember too many combustion engines in 6,145 B.C.).  Sadly, the impact of any changes in the sun (of which there are documented 22-year and many other longer time cycles) on our climate are not included in the long-range climate forecast reports from the infamous IPCC; if the sun was incorporated into computer simulations of our future climate we would not be in our current Global Warming phase of hysteria which is actually now merging with our part-time doubts about whether Global Warming is really occurring and even whether human activity is the main cause for Global Warming.  The “crucial” arctic sea ice amounts are almost always shown to be less in late summer, but nothing is drawn to the fact that the arctic has already had three months of 24-hour sunlight by this time.  The real ballgame is happening right before our eyes – and yet we are turning a blind eye to it.  Maybe when we experience not just one but a few consecutive very cold winters in the near future across many big cities that will spark an energy crisis after 18 months or so, as well as record thicker ice forming across the Great Lakes and even over the Hudson River by future New Year Days, only then might we check previous Arctic Ice Shrinkage correlations and Human-Induced Global Warming theories, stop recording meteorological observations at airport runways and next door to inner-city factories (i.e., creating falsely elevated readings) and our dire warnings for a world supposedly going on overheat.  Just watch the reversal happen, but first you should expect to freeze and shovel more snow than necessary first.

Other Analyses of the Same Source Article:
The goal of all business.
September 18, 2008, Author: GLG Expert Contributor

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