Summary
Analysis
The weight at the end of the extension trial was statistically identical to the weight at 26 weeks, with patients on exenatide losing an additional 1 kg of weight after switching to liraglutide (again, this appears dose-related).
It was suggested that beta cell function may be improved in patients who switched to liraglutide though we believe there would be little change outside dose. Nausea persisted in patients previously treated with exenatide though we believe this can be addressed with better titration. Still, overall, these results continue to be very positive for Novo Nordisk and liraglutide-- the question will be one of preferences and mechanics in whether patients switch over. We do believe the key advantage offered and one that will expand the market is once-daily dosing - that said, for now, liraglutide remains stalled at FDA. Each day it is delayed, of course, is a positive for Amylyn and Eli Lilly, who are waiting for the approval of LAR. The time liraglutide will be on the market ahead of LAR likely narrows each day. In the meantime, the liraglutide delay is also good news for Merck in that once there is an "easier" GLP-1 to switch to, patients could move off Januva more quickly (that said, there is no shortage of patients to go on DPP-4 inhibitors).



