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June 11, 2007

AT&T should not expect too much with prepaid data, indicate European learnings

This analysis is solely the work of the author. It has not been edited or endorsed by GLG.
Analysis By:
Tarik Fawzi, Chief Executive OfficerTarik Fawzi
Chief Executive Officer, Aeneas Strategy
Implications: The wireless data market in European has not shown any significant revenues streams in the prepaid data market. Europe is more prepaid and more data oriented than the US. Learning from the European experience, AT&T should not be too optimistic about revenues in this market.

Analysis:  European wireless carriers have not been successful to date with data services in the consumer market. On average, voice represents about 80% of wireless operator revenues, text messages counts for 15%, the remainder of 5% being for other data services (picture messaging, downloading of games, music, browsing the web, access to news, weather, sport, adult content, etc.). A significant part of this data chunk is earned in the business segment and the high-end consumer postpaid (subscription) market. The data revenues in the prepaid market are very limited, even though in most European market more than 50% (up to 90% in Italy and Eastern Europe) of the market is prepaid.

Reasons are settings in handsets, capabilities of the handsets, high costs for end users and the fact that those costs are nontransparent. Flat fee propositions are only limited available for the prepaid market.

AT&T should be cautious with expecting revenues in prepaid data: the US market is more postpaid and less data minded than the European market.

Other Analyses of the Same Source Article:
Selling Prepaid without hurting Total Churn and ARPU Ratios
June 17, 2007, Author: Gregg Kail, MBA, Reseller Manager, AT&T Corp
AT&T Adds Prepay Data and Messaging - So What?
June 15, 2007, Author: Jon Adams, Director- Wireless Technology and Strategy, Freescale Semiconductor, Inc.
Service Providers Remain Disconnected on Pre-Paid
June 15, 2007, Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Wireless Data for High End Users
June 15, 2007, Author: GLG Expert Contributor
AT&T prepaid service
June 11, 2007, Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Prepaid is for developing nations
June 11, 2007, Author: Carlos Silva, Director of Enterprise Services, Grupo Iusacell
Is pre-paid wireless data service poised for success?
June 7, 2007, Author: GLG Expert Contributor

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