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GLG News in Real Estate

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Paul BurnsJuly 8, 2008
How Long Is This Going To Take?
Analysis of: Bank Job | www.portfolio.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
This article notes the recent statement building financing of financial institutions and concludes its opening remarks with “I don’t know, you don’t know, and they don’t know”.  The article states the assumptions of current bank recapitalizations and in particular recaps the Bear Stearns acquisition.  It’s notable to me that Warren Buffet recently said that he didn’t have the appetite to...
July 3, 2008
Developed Lot/Land Foreclosures Rising Rapidly, Banks Struggle for a Strategy
Analysis of: Unfinished subdivisions grinding to a halt | www.azcentral.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
While banks are selling foreclosed homes in the Atlanta market for close to 90% of the loan amount, their vacant lots and land are not selling at all.  Builders and developers that have been paying interest for months are running out (or have run out) of cash.  Banks are struggling to find a strategy to handle what many of them expect to be an avalanche of foreclosures on vacant developed...
Jim BelfioreJuly 2, 2008
The Second Half: Buyer's Market
Analysis of: Unfinished subdivisions grinding to a halt | www.azcentral.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Bad news for some, though, will soon turn out to be good news for others.  The second half of this year will yield ample opportunities for residential land / lot buyers.  
Sam CrispinJuly 2, 2008
Invest in Real Estate Beyond Shanghai and Beijing
Analysis of: Foreign investment in Shanghai property market hit RMB 10 | www.chinaknowledge.com
Author: Sam Crispin, Managing Director, Crispins Property Investment Management
Shanghai has a lot to offer the foreign investor who are still able to deal in China despite the approvals needed. But the story has moved on to the 2nd tier cities and increasingly the 3rd tier cities, investors just need an investment committee comfortable dealing in cities they have never heard of.
July 2, 2008
Tell Me Again How Housing Has "Bottomed Out".
Analysis of: KB Home’s Loss Widens as Inventory of Unsold Houses Mounts | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The numbers reported by KB Homes are very similar to those reported by Lennar and other major, publicly-traded homebuilders. Sales are off drastically, contract cancellations continue to be problematic and losses are mounting. For the National Association of Realtors and other trade organizations, as well as some well-known analysts, to claim that we have seen the bottom of the housing market is both...
Jim BelfioreJuly 1, 2008
Pushing to the Bottom
Analysis of: KB Home’s Loss Widens as Inventory of Unsold Houses Mounts | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Investors and market observers can count on continued homebuilder losses, as home prices a pushed downward further.
July 1, 2008
Pass the Buck
Analysis of: Building costs a headache for developers | uk.reuters.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Life as a Developer has always been about who you know and what you know.Knowledge of building materials and cost are basic things developers need to survive. Things have changed a great deal the last 5-10 years. Most "new developers" and general contractors have never lifted a hammer or worn dirty work boots, that is a major shift and change from days past. The old model = work as a journeyman...
June 30, 2008
VACATION HOMES ARE NO LONGER THE FIRST TO FALTER
Analysis of: Domino-crash and the Worlds Second Homes - Domino-crash in Dominos | www.cifs.dk
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
I agree that there is now a global connection and consequently an effect among home sales and in defaults.  However, I disagree that second homes are the first to falter in a down market. On the contrary, I have been seeing a trend particularly among US baby boomers, in which second or vacation homes take priority over primary or first homes. 
Kenneth LeonardJune 26, 2008
IS THE SKY FALLING?
Analysis of: U.S. RETAIL STORE CLOSURES FLIRTING WITH SIX-YEAR HIGH | retailtrafficmag.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
This analysis, as is the case with most of my analyzes for GLG News, could properly be classified under several different overly restrictive GLG News "Subjects".  It involves important impacts in "Retailing", "Finance",Stock Market Activity, and Shopping Center Real Estate(which as yet is not a separate category). Instead I chose to label it under the REITs category.  However,...
June 25, 2008
Price Corrections Are Not As Bad As Reported
Analysis of: Home Prices Continue Sharp Descent | money.cnn.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Home prices have indeed experienced significant corrections.  However, some reports of price reductions may be exaggerated due to innacurate methodology. 
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