Real Estate News by GLG Council Members

Commercial Real Estate Still Alive but not neccessarily healthy

October 29, 2009

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Commercial Real Estate Debt Won't Be the Next Shoe to Drop, Economists Say | retailtrafficmag.com

Banks and other lenders are ill equipped to operate a failed mall, office building or hotel, once they have foreclosed on this type  of property.Shopping malls and other such buildings staying vacant brings no income and makes the property more difficult to sell.A good broker is the answer,  One who can find a buyer, negotiate a sale and limit the damage to the bottom line and the structure, itself.

Kenneth EganBroker and RealtorRe/Max All Cities Realty

Good Insight Here

October 29, 2009

Analysis of:Uncle Sam Adds 5% to Prices of Homes, Goldman Says | blogs.wsj.com

Government intervention eliminates the "Free-Market" concept.This is politics as usual...kicking the can down the road.Pres. Obama is not bringing about change(I am not against him).Cash for clunkers applied to home purchase will not fix the problem.

David LereahPresidentReecon Advisors

Case-Shiller Home Price Improvement Temporary

October 27, 2009

Analysis of:Home Price Improvements May Be Short-Lived | www.realestateeconomywatch.com

According to a recent Case-Shiller home price report, the pace of annual decline in home values continues to decelerate and there are sustained monthly increases across many of the markets. Historic low mortgage rates and a government tax credit program have provided a favorable backdrop for housing activity throughout this year. Housing sector faces several obstacles that could weaken future home sales and home values.

Robert CanterPresident-FounderPerformance Realty Solutions, LLC

This means more bad news on the commercial real estate sector

October 27, 2009

Analysis of:Stocks waver on housing, consumer confidence data | www.wtop.com

Consumer confidence fell unexpectedly...What gave it away? When you have unemployment hovering around 10% what should the experts expect?

PPIP is doing what it was designed to do.

October 24, 2009

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Question Marks Still Remain for PPIP | www.globest.com

The primary function/purpose of PPIP was to provide price support to institutional investors holding structured investments. PPIP was not designed to provide a market bid for "toxic" assets. If it were, the program would have permitted inclusion of all structured assets - not just those rated AAA; similarly the program would have supported the purchase of ReRemics - the true "toxic asset" class.

Harnath SithamrajuConsultantHarnath Sithamraju

State of Real Estate

October 23, 2009

Analysis of:In India, Property Stocks Act Like Tech | online.wsj.com

Customs and Practice define the rules of Real estate.Real estate is/has been real business since the Jurassic Age but Tech is recent.

Robert CanterPresident-FounderPerformance Realty Solutions, LLC

No Credit No Economy

October 22, 2009

Analysis of:Commercial Real Estate Debt Won't Be the Next Shoe to Drop, Economists Say | retailtrafficmag.com

The folks quoted in this article have to be kidding. They must be the same people that didn't question the era of cheap money and low cap rates either.

...If This Isn't A Shoe, Is It A Boot?

October 22, 2009

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Commercial Real Estate Debt Won't Be the Next Shoe to Drop, Economists Say | retailtrafficmag.com

The only good news is that most of the loans in question were not securitized and spread through the financial system as cash-equivalent.The bad news is multi-faceted.To expect REITs to be able to stop the fall, is to rely on a frayed shoe lace.

David LereahPresidentReecon Advisors

Record Deficit Bad News For Economy and Housing

October 22, 2009

Analysis of:Record Budget Deficit Cast a Dark Shadow Over Economy and Housing | www.realestateeconomywatch.com

The federal budge deficit is now at an all-time record and is about 10 percent of GDP. The fallout of running excessive budget deficits will likely be higher interest rates and slower and erratic long-term economic growth. Both would provide an unfavorable backdrop for the nation's housing sector.

The 3 legs of the valuation stool remain broken

October 21, 2009

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Commercial Real Estate Poised to Disappoint | www.taipanpublishinggroup.com

Based on public equity valuations, where P/E ratios based on projected "E" are at all time highs it is hard to envision a scenario where Commercial Real Estate equity returns achieve positiive levels. Fundamentals remain weak, availability of debt financing remains constrained, and all expect a surplus of REO properties to hit the market over the next few years. The tree legs of the valuation stool - supply, debt financing, cash flow growth - are broken; not a pretty picture for valuations.

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