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GLG News in Real Estate

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August 6, 2008
Remove the Rose Colored Glasses
Analysis of: CBRE’s Torto Sees CRE Correction, No Catastrophe | www.commercialpropertynews.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Harry Truman said, "It's a recession when your neighbor loses his job; it's a depression when you lose yours." Clearly Mr. Torto still has a job, but he is, in my opinion, basing his "correction but no catastrophe" assessment of the commercial real estate markets on something other than the facts.
August 6, 2008
Construction Lending Dries Up
Analysis of: Construction activity shrinks at record pace | www.tiscali.co.uk
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
I have been a consultant to major construction lenders for over ten years.  In this time I have averaged three property conditiion assessment or pre-project review assignments per month.  In 2008, I have received less than one assignment per month.  The firms that I consult with have confirmed that this drop in activity is due to a lack of new projects coming onstream.  There is...
August 6, 2008
The Central Valley connection
Analysis of: Default: the View Behind the Numbers | www.bendbulletin.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
In the San Joaquin Valley of California, we are see much of the same as the rest of the country.  People who purchased homes at the peak of the market with exotic loans are now finding themselves unable to pay their mortgage payments. 
August 5, 2008
profit from panic
Analysis of: Simon Says: Beware Mall Operators | biz.yahoo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
So far, the widely touted recession in the US has yet to notch up even one quarter of economic decline. Retail hasn't grown much, but neither is it shrinking to any great extent. Retail developers and REITs are likely to have asymmetric vulnerabilities depending on the location of their assets.
August 5, 2008
Cost is the Key!
Analysis of: US home builder outlines greener future | www.energyefficiencynews.com
Author: Orville Power, Principal, Vertical Infill, Inc.
Solar Panel systems are not yet cost effective for builders to use on traditional housing.  Overall, an environmental movement will help sell homes, however, it must make financial sense to be widely accepted in the building industry.
August 4, 2008
GETTING BLOOD FROM A STONE
Analysis of: Simon Says: Beware Mall Operators | biz.yahoo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
No matter what the story, Simon and all other shopping center developers fortunes are directly tied to retail rents and rents are directly tied to sales. Depending on the region, retail and food sales are down 10% to 30% and an unprecidented number of independent retailers and restarantuers are simply closing their doors. "You can't get blood from a stone," my Mom used to say, and you can't get...
August 4, 2008
Soft-landing of Shanghai real estate market?
Analysis of: Shanghai house sales see declining trend | www.ec.cn
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
I believe that Shanghai's real estate market is already entering the correction period, which may last for several months. In some suburban parts of Shanghai, the prices may receive a downward correction of more than 20 percents. Remind that many hot parts in Shanghai experienced 50-100% housing price soar in 2007. But a large plunge of price is unlikely for the whole...
July 31, 2008
HIGH GAS PRICES EASY, NO TIME,THE REAL PROBLEM!
Analysis of: Panel: Gas Woes Changing Retail | www.globest.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The recent spike in gas prices has been followed by a reduction in crude oil and the promise of cheaper gas in the future. But no one believes it will cease to be a problem for retailing and every other facet of our daily lives. But is this our biggest problem in the retail and shopping center business? I contend that we will adapt to the energy problems, electric and hydrogen cars will give Detroit...
July 28, 2008
Philippines property industry looking at lower yields by 2010 but retirement, medical and tourism markets set to sustain momentum beyond medium term.
Analysis of: More real estate projects lined up for OFWs, retirees | www.abs-cbnnews.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The Philippines is still in a middle of an economic and property boom that started in 2004-05 but is weighed down by stagflation and high commodities concerns.
July 28, 2008
Deal or No Deal.....
Analysis of: Struggling To Fill Vacant Homes | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
There are a number of areas in the country, while having experienced some effects of this situation, are not operating as this article describes Fresno operating. Our nations news media is often not accurately reporting the facts and is contributing to the "mental recession syndrome".  While it is unfortunate, the bailout of California, Florida and other states by the federal government is not...
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