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GLG News in Real Estate

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May 29, 2008
Multifamily Is a Two-Sided Coin
Analysis of: Apartment Starts Will Trend Down After this Year, Held Low by Shadow Inventory, Condo-to-Rental Conversions, Says NAHB Economist | www.multihousingnews.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
We need to stop looking at the "multifamily market" as a single market. Clearly, given the current condominium market (or lack thereof), we need to talking in terms of rental apartments and for-sale condominium product, regardless of whether some of that condo product may temporarily be placed into the rental market. These are two entirely different markets, and if you are looking for proof of that...
May 27, 2008
US Commercial Office Market Finally Hits the Wall
Analysis of: Shopping Centers Feast On Acquisitions | nreionline.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The combination of a slowing economy and turbulent debt markets has finally hit the US commercial office market. Although a great deal of equity capital remains ready to invest, between the meltdown and risk-adjustment in the financing markets, deteriorating operating fundamentals and herd mentality withdrawal from the market, office investment transaction values are down 70% from last year as...
Jim BelfioreMay 27, 2008
HOA Bankruptcies Coming
Analysis of: As Dues Dry Up, The Neighbors Pay | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Rising costs and high delinquencies are pushing HOAs into bankruptcy.  Add HOA solvency to your underwriting checklist.
Howard LiggettMay 23, 2008
Connecticut Bucks National Trend of Inventory Overbuild
Analysis of: Housing Prices Going Lower | www.lvrj.com
Author: Howard Liggett, President and CEO, Distressed Real Estate Consulting Services, Inc.
It easy to think nationally when reading of the foreclosure number increases;the glut of homes and the downward impact on price point when,in fact,there are many regions of the country that have not been as adversely affected by speculator development and inflated land values.  Connecticut is one of several states that have weathered the storm and continue to have considerably healthier...
Kenneth LeonardMay 22, 2008
Ho Hum, Rising Tide Lifts All Boats & Vice Versa
Analysis of: Less Shopping = Fewer Malls | online.wsj.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
This is a perfect example of my often repeated notion that what passes for news in today's 24/7 news-hungry environment is mostly just a rehash of old and obvious observations.   This WSJ reporter obviously was given the assignment to write something newsworthy about the annual shopping center industry's trade show currently being held in Vegas. In a failed attempt to address...
Sam CrispinMay 22, 2008
Middle eastern investment in China property
Analysis of: Qatar $40 bln property firm eyes Far East, Europe | www.guardian.co.uk
Author: Sam Crispin, Managing Director, Crispins Property Investment Management
Money flows from middle east to China set to increase after long wait
Robert CanterMay 21, 2008
Further confirmation the commercial real estate market has a downward bias...how long and deep will this decline become?
Analysis of: Regional Office Leasing Activity Lowest Since 1995 | www.washingtonpost.com
Author: Robert Canter, President-Founder, Performance Realty Solutions, LLC
Now that the numbers are coming in, there is no doubt the commercial market has just begun to feel the pain this writer has been predicting. The only question is far down can the market go and for how long. All indications are it will be a decent decline probably not the worst in terms of historical standards but it will last for a fairly long period of time. However, although the United States economy...
May 20, 2008
The Beginning of The Beginning: Las Vegas turning the Corner
Analysis of: Housing Prices Going Lower | www.lvrj.com
Author: Steve Bottfeld, Principal, Marketing Solutions
To paraphrase Winston Churchill, April’s housing data for Las Vegas could be the “beginning of the beginning.”  undefined·      -----Prices of ALL new homes have reached a yearly high of $291,080 – just 9.3% below last April.  The price differential between 2008 and 2007 has narrowed in each successive month of this year. undefined·        ...
May 20, 2008
Attractive new possible opportunity in Dubai
Analysis of: Emaar Hospitality Group plans to enter timeshare market | www.ameinfo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The opening up of timeshare by Emaar is very interesting for the following reasons:- Emaar are highly respected as probably the best developer in Dubai and are owned by the Rulers family. This is evidenced by the fact that until recently it was very difficult to obtain finance on other companies developments that were not being constructed by companies owned by the Rulers family. This...
May 19, 2008
Positive Economic News
Analysis of: The Housing Crisis is Over | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Cyril Moulle-Berteaux relates interesting facts that corroborate the return to a normal housing economy in the future.  Yet, others do not understand Moulle-Berteaux’s historical analysis.  
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