August 26, 2008
Macro Trends Spells Doom for Banks and their Profits
Analysis of:
Bank Debt Risk Rises as Writedowns, Losses Exceed $500 Billion | www.bloomberg.comAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorThe global slowdown and rising inflation will limit banks from escaping the credit meltdown anytime soon. Deleveraging will continue for years and revenue lost from discontinued businesses has yet to be identified.
August 25, 2008
Mortgages - How do we solve the financing issues?
Analysis of:
Lenders reject multiple credit applications | www.guardian.co.ukAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorPeople will continue to seek mortgages. Although the industry is not people friendly now, there will still be people seeking the dream of home ownership. The credit, DTI and down payment requirements have always been out of reach for most home buyers. That is why government programs were always popular, and will continue to be popular again. ...
August 25, 2008
As long term investors, Sovereign Wealth Funds may have the last laugh
Analysis of:
Sovereign Wealth Fund Assets Could Triple by 2013 | www.bloomberg.comAuthor: GLG Expert Contributor The Sovereign Wealth Funds are long-term investors. We may find out as time passes who really is the greater fool. An investment in the best-of-best alternative investment firms may be more genius than foolishness. Blackstone is a premier player in alternative investments. With the S&P 500 index at 1280 it is lower now than it was in March of 1999, almost ten years ago. While the market...
August 25, 2008
Credit, Credit...Who Has Credit?
Analysis of:
Lenders reject multiple credit applications | www.guardian.co.ukAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorBorrowers are being punished twice for seeking a loan during the current credit crunch...three times if you are someone who believes lenders and not borrowers are mainly responsible for the crunch in the first place.
August 20, 2008
Have Bank's Revealed Everything? Default Protection is Under - Rated!
Analysis of:
Bank Debt Risk Rises as Writedowns, Losses Exceed $500 Billion | www.bloomberg.comAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorImplications: 1.High Risk And High-Yield credit ratings have risen by 9 basis points - an all time high. 2.Bank losses are restricting lending, the Financial Market Place of Companies , as well as, consumers.The End Result is the tightening of al lending Standards - Inevitable! 3.Credit Swaps have risen 1.25 basis points and "More to Come"! 4.Sub-prime debts have become "Toxic"!- The Market is falling...
August 19, 2008
Bounce in global bank shares will be limited from here
Analysis of:
Bank Debt Risk Rises as Writedowns, Losses Exceed $500 Billion | www.bloomberg.comAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorSince January 2007 the world’s biggest commercial and investment banks have written down $497bn of bad debt. The optimists suggest the worse is now behind us. Perhaps, but the bounce will be limited from here. Hope springs from the belief that banks have written down what there is to be written down, the authorities are bending over backwards to help and buyers of credit are emerging. Markets are...
August 19, 2008
Soft Insurance Market Set to Slide Further Towards A Hard Landing
Analysis of:
Japan Insurers Look Abroad as Profits, Premiums Drop | www.bloomberg.comAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorReduced insurer profits. Reduced insurer shareholder return on equity. Higher insurance premiums in near future. Increased insurer M&A activity. Maybe time to buy insurer stock.
August 19, 2008
Rogue Traders create a Monumental Scandal in the Investment Banking Industry!
Analysis of:
Credit Suisse hit by £5.6m FSA fine after sub-prime rogue trading | www.guardian.co.ukAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorImplications: 1.Prompt action by Credit Suisse avoided a MUCH Larger Fine by the Regulatory authorities by cooperating and providing concessions. 2.Intersting Implication - Investors have become distrustful of credit risk ratings related to complex investment alternatives, which has become a world-wide scenerio. 3.The high Ethical Standards of Credit Suisse have been called into question...
August 18, 2008Ex brings the dragon home
Analysis of:
Westpac Gets Antitrust Approval for St. George Bid | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Harnath Sithamraju,
Consultant, Harnath Sithamraju 1. For banks to stay ahead, more mergers in the Australian banking industry can be expected. 2. Australian banking industry is heading into a period of churning and consolidation.A fallout of the increasing interest rates and fears of recession.
August 18, 2008
Earningd Plunge At Least 95 % : An Indicator of The Affect of Debt-Related Investments!
Analysis of:
Bank Debt Risk Rises as Writedowns, Losses Exceed $500 Billion | www.bloomberg.comAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorImplications: 1.Bank losses are a severe restriction on lending practices of Financial Institutions. 2.Severe Financial and Economic damage to corporations and the individual consumer as delinquencies on home and commercial loans rise. 3.Many U.S banking institutions , now have, a substantial deteriortion of their capitalization base and related " Market Value"! 4.The rise in Debt Speculation indicates...