September 12, 2008
Investment Shift From Russia Towards SEE and CEE?
Analysis of:
Credit Suisse sees opportunities in market crisis | www.reuters.comAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorBanks are already focusing on high net worth individuals, sovereign wealth plans (either commodity or export based), revised property derivatives and top performing industries rather than small businesses. Anyway, banks have to meet their targets, despite this increase in foreclosures. So, they must find the “right customers” as well as the “right deals”, make or show things simpler and cooperate...
September 11, 2008
Santander and German's Postbank: The next consolidation wave has started...
Analysis of:
Santander Said to Revive Talks on Postbank Purchase | www.bloomberg.comAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorAfter the recent announcement of the Commerzbank AG buying Dresdner bank from Allianz SE, again a new take over in the commercial and retail banking area is on target. Taken the Single European Payments Area (SEPA) into consideration and the uptake this will bring in this market, the consolidation of banks in Europe is (again) about to begin.
September 11, 2008
Leveraging Buyout Debt, Loans, Credit Swaps Enhances a Negative Financial Outlook!
Analysis of:
CDO Performance Outlook Cut on Increased Defaults, Moody's Says | www.bloomberg.comAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorImplications:
1.All Global and Domestic default rates have risen and a strong forecast of a Recession are on the radar screen.
2.Emerging Market Debt and Loans by the Japanese to large coporations appear to be the only issues that have a positive synergy.
3." Emerging Markets " appear to present themselves with a factor of growth. Long and/or Short implications of the same may or may not
be predictable.
4.The...
September 11, 2008Good Idea, Wrong Justification
Analysis of:
Lehman Brothers faces Korean takeover bid | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: John Jukoski,
Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta KDB in this case is playing the role of the blind squirrel who finds a nut. It is wise to invest opportunistically, in ventures that are cheap, WHEN YOU UNDERSTAND THAT YOU ARE NOT KNOWLEDGEBLE IN HOW TO RUN THESE BUSINESSES.
September 11, 2008Credit vs. Collateral
Analysis of:
ECB `Overpricing' of Asset-Backed Debt May Shut Out Investors | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski,
Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta The question to answer here is whether or not the ECB is a collateral-based lender.
September 11, 2008Markets can function regardless of the ECB's actions
Analysis of:
ECB to Change Auction Rules to Stop Banks `Gaming the System,' Mersch Says | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski,
Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta The fact the ECB might accept securities other central banks (or private lenders) might not is not preventing the market for these securities to correct. Pledging securities to a collateralized lender will not affect the ability to sell these securities when the opportunity presents itself.
September 8, 2008
HR Outsourcing in India: Really something new?
Analysis of:
HR outsourcing gaining steam | www.hindu.comAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorThe personell market in India is becoming more tight. Despite major numbers of graduates flushing the market, the real potential for international jobs is estimated far lower then the actual number of graduates. Bearing this mind makes the HR outsourcing industry a booming market for the future, as it is in mature markets already.
September 8, 2008
A Higher Level of Balance Sheet Inequities Leads to a 7.5 Billion pd Capitalization Default!
Analysis of:
Barclays May Face 7.5 Billion-Pound Capital Shortfall | www.bloomberg.comAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorImplications: 1.Common Equity is low compared to that of Securities Firms.A deviation does exist between the Securities Industry and the Banking Industry. The question, at hand, is the common ground? 2." A Large and Growing Equity Shortfall "has not kept pace with the Financial Institution's ability to absorp losses - hence re-capitalization. 3.It is , entirely possible, that the bank will, indeed,...
September 8, 2008
Does The Worst Seem to Be Over for the UK Credit Crunch?
Analysis of:
Mortgage market improves with new market-leading deals | www.timesonline.co.ukAuthor: GLG Expert ContributorImplications: 1.The Credit Crisis seems to be leveling - off and Mortgage Rates seemed to have fallen into a downward trend. 2.Raising funds on-the-swap market may have relieved the Major burden. The question , at hand, is the length of time for proof positive. 3.Decision Makers have chosen to raise the rate by .75 points - the "new" base rate of 5.75%. 4.The salient issue is the amount of required...
September 8, 2008M&A grips Aussie Banks
Analysis of:
Bidders eye HBOS operations in Australia | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Harnath Sithamraju,
Consultant, Harnath Sithamraju 1.Shrinking business pushing bigger banks to swallow smaller banks to increase customer base.